TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081690
Played Sep 5Finished
Radek Hruby
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117116411511711
Radim Jaros
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Jaros to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Hruby above · Radim Jaros below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-9
Point 82 set 5, 7-9 — our read held Radim Jaros at 54.0%
82 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Radek Hruby 8–9 Radim Jaros Radek Hruby has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:39What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jaros
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hruby 1335 vs Jaros 1117
Hruby
Wrong
both rated, 219 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hruby 80% vs Jaros 0%
Hruby
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hruby 50% vs Jaros 0%
Hruby
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hruby +4 · Jaros -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hruby) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaros form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHruby 1.91 / Jaros 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hruby)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13081690
Hruby1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 18 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back30% 7 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Jaros1.80
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHruby5wins
AwayJaros5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHruby66.7%4 of 6
AwayJaros75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hruby6Jaros4n = 10Hruby took 6 of 10
S2Hruby5Jaros5n = 10split evenly
S3Hruby5Jaros5n = 10split evenly
S4Hruby3Jaros2n = 5Hruby took 3 of 5
S5Hruby2Jaros3n = 5Jaros took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrubyJarosH − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.933.2+3.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrubyJarosBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 133 vs 93 / 24738.4%37.7%51 / 133 vs 93 / 247Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.234.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrubyHruby 1.91/Jaros 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hruby · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jaros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby—116811113R. Jaros—41111972
WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby—1111113R. Jaros—9550
WAug 15 · 21:03R. Hruby—1211117113R. Jaros—14591122
LAug 15 · 20:35R. Hruby—6440R. Jaros—1111113
LMay 30 · 15:35R. Hruby—96110R. Jaros—1111133
LMay 29 · 21:20R. Hruby—111111542R. Jaros—311311113
LMay 29 · 20:35R. Hruby—97111152R. Jaros—111178113
LMay 24 · 15:35R. Hruby—113911122R. Jaros—911113143
WMay 22 · 20:35R. Hruby—1111113R. Jaros—5240
WMay 8 · 21:05R. Hruby—1111113R. Jaros—7540
R. Hruby10
LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881LAug 30 · 14:35P. Pesout1.57131110113R. Hruby2.251161291LAug 28 · 21:05R. Hruby1.538770T. Motacek2.381111113WAug 28 · 20:35T. Motacek1.5791070R. Hruby2.251112113LAug 28 · 19:35R. Hruby2.75491291M. Chmelicek1.40111110113
R. Jaros10
WSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101LSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143LSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131LSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:05M. Chmelicek1.171111113R. Jaros4.502750LSep 4 · 21:15M. Chmelicek—1111113R. Jaros—4790LAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972LAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550
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