TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13046858
Played Aug 30Finished
Radek Hruby
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115115––––
Radim Jaros
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:18 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeRadim Jaros to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Hruby above · Radim Jaros below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-5
Point 50 set 3, 9-5 — our read held Radim Jaros at 59.7%
50 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Radek Hruby 6–9 Radim Jaros Radek Hruby has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jaros
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Jaros
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hruby 1217 vs Jaros 1202
Hruby
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hruby 20% vs Jaros 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hruby 30% vs Jaros 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hruby -3 · Jaros -2
Hruby
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jaros) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaros form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHruby 2.10 / Jaros 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Jaros)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13046858
Hruby2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 16 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back33% 7 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Jaros1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHruby4wins
AwayJaros6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJaros leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHruby50%3 of 6
AwayJaros75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hruby6Jaros4n = 10Hruby took 6 of 10
S2Hruby5Jaros5n = 10split evenly
S3Hruby5Jaros5n = 10split evenly
S4Hruby3Jaros2n = 5Hruby took 3 of 5
S5Hruby1Jaros4n = 5Jaros took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrubyJarosH − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.134.1+2.0per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrubyJarosBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 129 vs 93 / 23936.4%38.9%47 / 129 vs 93 / 239Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.134.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JarosHruby 2.10/Jaros 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Jaros · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hruby won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 21:03R. Hruby—1211117113R. Jaros—14591122
LAug 15 · 20:35R. Hruby—6440R. Jaros—1111113
LMay 30 · 15:35R. Hruby—96110R. Jaros—1111133
LMay 29 · 21:20R. Hruby—111111542R. Jaros—311311113
LMay 29 · 20:35R. Hruby—97111152R. Jaros—111178113
LMay 24 · 15:35R. Hruby—113911122R. Jaros—911113143
WMay 22 · 20:35R. Hruby—1111113R. Jaros—5240
WMay 8 · 21:05R. Hruby—1111113R. Jaros—7540
LMay 8 · 19:35R. Hruby—11671142R. Jaros—811119113
WMay 3 · 15:35R. Hruby—1111113R. Jaros—7850
R. Hruby10
LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881LAug 30 · 14:35P. Pesout1.57131110113R. Hruby2.251161291LAug 28 · 21:05R. Hruby1.538770T. Motacek2.381111113WAug 28 · 20:35T. Motacek1.5791070R. Hruby2.251112113LAug 28 · 19:35R. Hruby2.75491291M. Chmelicek1.40111110113
R. Jaros10
WSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101LSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143LSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131WSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113LSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:05M. Chmelicek1.171111113R. Jaros4.502750LSep 4 · 21:15M. Chmelicek—1111113R. Jaros—4790LAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972
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