TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13034560
Played Aug 28Finished
Tomas Motacek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–4Last 6Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012711––––
Radek Hruby
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:29 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Motacek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Motacek above · Radek Hruby below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 60 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Motacek at 58.9%
60 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:29What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Motacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Motacek 1328 vs Hruby 1227
Motacek
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Motacek 40% vs Hruby 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Motacek 33% vs Hruby 40%
—
Too close
7pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Motacek -3 · Hruby -2
Motacek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Motacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Motacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMotacek 1.57 / Hruby 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Motacek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13034560
Motacek1.57
33%won 2 of 6 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 3 of 6
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Hruby2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back35% 7 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMotacekHrubyBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 6 vs 46 / 12533.3%36.8%2 / 6 vs 46 / 125Avg sets wonper match1.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match32.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MotacekMotacek 1.57/Hruby 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Motacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hruby won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Motacek10
WSep 6 · 13:35P. Pesout1.80611881T. Motacek1.9111811113WSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101WSep 6 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.676790T. Motacek2.101111113LSep 6 · 10:35P. Pesout1.83111247113T. Motacek1.83910111192WSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113WSep 5 · 16:05M. Chmelicek1.53591111102T. Motacek2.38111196123WSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123LAug 29 · 17:35T. Motacek2.3711511492M. Chmelicek1.52711911113WAug 29 · 16:35R. Jaros1.911850T. Motacek1.801111113
R. Hruby10
LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881LAug 30 · 14:35P. Pesout1.57131110113R. Hruby2.251161291LAug 28 · 21:05R. Hruby1.538770T. Motacek2.381111113LAug 28 · 19:35R. Hruby2.75491291M. Chmelicek1.40111110113
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