TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13048207
Played Aug 30Finished
Radek Hruby
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114611811119117
Radim Jaros
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRadek Hruby above · Radim Jaros below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-7
Point 88 set 5, 10-7
88 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Radek Hruby 7–9 Radim Jaros Radek Hruby has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jaros)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaros form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHruby 2.10 / Jaros 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Jaros)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13048207
Hruby2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 16 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back33% 7 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Jaros1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHruby4wins
AwayJaros6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJaros leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHruby50%3 of 6
AwayJaros75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hruby6Jaros4n = 10Hruby took 6 of 10
S2Hruby5Jaros5n = 10split evenly
S3Hruby5Jaros5n = 10split evenly
S4Hruby3Jaros2n = 5Hruby took 3 of 5
S5Hruby1Jaros4n = 5Jaros took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrubyJarosH − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.134.0+2.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrubyJarosBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 130 vs 93 / 24036.9%38.8%48 / 130 vs 93 / 240Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.034.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JarosHruby 2.10/Jaros 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Jaros · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hruby won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby—1111113R. Jaros—9550
WAug 15 · 21:03R. Hruby—1211117113R. Jaros—14591122
LAug 15 · 20:35R. Hruby—6440R. Jaros—1111113
LMay 30 · 15:35R. Hruby—96110R. Jaros—1111133
LMay 29 · 21:20R. Hruby—111111542R. Jaros—311311113
LMay 29 · 20:35R. Hruby—97111152R. Jaros—111178113
LMay 24 · 15:35R. Hruby—113911122R. Jaros—911113143
WMay 22 · 20:35R. Hruby—1111113R. Jaros—5240
WMay 8 · 21:05R. Hruby—1111113R. Jaros—7540
LMay 8 · 19:35R. Hruby—11671142R. Jaros—811119113
R. Hruby10
LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881LAug 30 · 14:35P. Pesout1.57131110113R. Hruby2.251161291LAug 28 · 21:05R. Hruby1.538770T. Motacek2.381111113WAug 28 · 20:35T. Motacek1.5791070R. Hruby2.251112113LAug 28 · 19:35R. Hruby2.75491291M. Chmelicek1.40111110113
R. Jaros10
WSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101LSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143LSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131WSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113LSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:05M. Chmelicek1.171111113R. Jaros4.502750LSep 4 · 21:15M. Chmelicek—1111113R. Jaros—4790LAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550
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