TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13043108
Played Aug 29Finished
Tomas Motacek
Home
2.37
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117511119411911
Martin Chmelicek
Away
1.52
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Motacek above · Martin Chmelicek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Motacek 1–2 Martin Chmelicek Tomas Motacek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Chmelicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Motacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMotacek 2.37 / Chmelicek 1.52
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Chmelicek)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13043108
Motacek2.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Chmelicek1.52
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite51% won 56 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it66% 44 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMotacek1wins
AwayChmelicek2wins
Chmelicek leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Motacek1Chmelicek2n = 3Chmelicek took 2 of 3
S2Motacek2Chmelicek1n = 3Motacek took 2 of 3
S3Motacek1Chmelicek2n = 3Chmelicek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMotacekChmelicekM − CBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.334.3−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMotacekChmelicekBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 11 vs 209 / 44345.5%47.2%5 / 11 vs 209 / 443Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChmelicekMotacek 2.37/Chmelicek 1.52
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Chmelicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chmelicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 29 · 15:35T. Motacek—8118151M. Chmelicek—11911173
LAug 28 · 18:35T. Motacek—39100M. Chmelicek—1111123
WAug 27 · 20:33T. Motacek—1111113M. Chmelicek—6960
T. Motacek10
WSep 6 · 13:35P. Pesout1.80611881T. Motacek1.9111811113WSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101WSep 6 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.676790T. Motacek2.101111113LSep 6 · 10:35P. Pesout1.83111247113T. Motacek1.83910111192WSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113WSep 5 · 16:05M. Chmelicek1.53591111102T. Motacek2.38111196123WSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 29 · 16:35R. Jaros1.911850T. Motacek1.801111113LAug 29 · 15:35T. Motacek2.008118151M. Chmelicek1.7311911173
M. Chmelicek10
LSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840WSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:35M. Rojka1.916411131M. Chmelicek1.8011118153LSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:05M. Chmelicek1.91911941P. Pesout1.8011711113LSep 6 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.676790T. Motacek2.101111113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LSep 5 · 16:05M. Chmelicek1.53591111102T. Motacek2.38111196123WAug 29 · 15:35T. Motacek2.008118151M. Chmelicek1.7311911173
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