TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086681
Played Sep 6Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511117411116411
Martin Chmelicek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Martin Chmelicek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 81 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 66.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 14–4 Martin Chmelicek Martin Chmelicek has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-4 in 18
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1510 vs Chmelicek 1338
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Chmelicek 20%
Vosyka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 60% vs Chmelicek 40%
Vosyka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +3 · Chmelicek +1
Vosyka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chmelicek form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.44 / Chmelicek 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Vosyka)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13086681
Vosyka1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 58 of 77
Chmelicek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 58 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka8wins
AwayChmelicek2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka100%6 of 6
AwayChmelicek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka6Chmelicek4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S2Vosyka7Chmelicek3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S3Vosyka6Chmelicek4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S4Vosyka5Chmelicek1n = 6Vosyka took 5 of 6
S5Vosyka3Chmelicek1n = 4Vosyka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaChmelicekV − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.435.4+5.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaChmelicekBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 416 vs 221 / 46651.2%47.4%213 / 416 vs 221 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.44/Chmelicek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chmelicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 18:35L. Vosyka—1211113M. Chmelicek—10660
WAug 23 · 21:35L. Vosyka—921211113M. Chmelicek—111110682
WAug 23 · 19:35L. Vosyka—111411113M. Chmelicek—7121391
LAug 16 · 19:35L. Vosyka—712111152M. Chmelicek—1110132113
WAug 13 · 19:35L. Vosyka—1111113M. Chmelicek—9990
WAug 12 · 21:15L. Vosyka—811711113M. Chmelicek—11711952
LAug 12 · 19:35L. Vosyka—1431171M. Chmelicek—16119113
WJul 17 · 14:05L. Vosyka—1411113M. Chmelicek—12880
WJun 21 · 19:05L. Vosyka—1111113M. Chmelicek—5930
WApr 16 · 18:05L. Vosyka—116811113M. Chmelicek—31111742
L. Vosyka10
WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531WSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:05L. Vosyka1.6711611942M. Flesar2.10711611113LSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka1.3661570P. Pesout3.001117113LSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113WSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:35J. Kabelka2.509119101L. Vosyka1.5011811123
M. Chmelicek10
LSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840WSep 6 · 19:35M. Rojka1.916411131M. Chmelicek1.8011118153LSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:05M. Chmelicek1.91911941P. Pesout1.8011711113LSep 6 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.676790T. Motacek2.101111113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172WSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131LSep 5 · 16:05M. Chmelicek1.53591111102T. Motacek2.38111196123LSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113
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