TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058531
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
14161191191012811
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:13 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 111 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 60.5%
111 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 12–15 Ladislav Vosyka Jan Vidourek has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vidourek 1497 vs Vosyka 1534
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vidourek 60% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vidourek 40% vs Vosyka 70%
Vosyka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vidourek +2 · Vosyka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vidourek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 2.25 / Vosyka 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13058531
Vidourek2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 46 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Vosyka1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVidourek5wins
AwayVosyka5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourek100%4 of 4
AwayVosyka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek4Vosyka6n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S2Vidourek5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S3Vidourek5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S4Vidourek4Vosyka1n = 5Vidourek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVidourekVosykaVidourek − VosykaBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.6−1.6per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 310 vs 209 / 40851.9%51.2%161 / 310 vs 209 / 408Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVidourek 2.25/Vosyka 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 20:35J. Vidourek—1111143L. Vosyka—38120
LAug 13 · 21:35J. Vidourek—101191432L. Vosyka—1261112113
WAug 13 · 20:05J. Vidourek—11611113L. Vosyka—711891
WAug 12 · 20:05J. Vidourek—1213113L. Vosyka—101180
LAug 9 · 21:10J. Vidourek—81060L. Vosyka—1112113
WAug 9 · 20:35J. Vidourek—121111113L. Vosyka—148781
LJul 20 · 19:35J. Vidourek—9820L. Vosyka—1111113
LJul 19 · 21:40J. Vidourek—8190L. Vosyka—1111113
WJul 19 · 20:35J. Vidourek—11136113L. Vosyka—8111171
LJul 2 · 21:35J. Vidourek—7111161L. Vosyka—11138113
J. Vidourek10
LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991WSep 1 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.501011116113J. Kabelka2.5012741182LAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170WAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133LAug 31 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.10711791R. Neterda1.6711811113
L. Vosyka10
WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531WSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:05L. Vosyka1.6711611942M. Flesar2.10711611113LSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka1.3661570P. Pesout3.001117113LSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113WSep 1 · 19:35J. Kabelka2.509119101L. Vosyka1.5011811123
Upcoming Matches
J. Vidourek
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L. Vosyka1 of 1 neutral
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