TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070388
Played Sep 3Finished
Radek Vosyka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611116611––
Jan Vidourek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Vosyka above · Jan Vidourek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 54.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Radek Vosyka 1–1 Jan Vidourek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1599 vs Vidourek 1493
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 80% vs Vidourek 60%
Vosyka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 60% vs Vidourek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +1 · Vidourek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vidourek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.50 / Vidourek 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Vosyka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13070388
Vosyka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 82 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it73% 64 of 88
Vidourek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 47 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVosyka1wins
AwayVidourek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVosykaVidourekVosyka − VidourekBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.538.0+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaVidourekBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 356 vs 162 / 31251.4%51.9%183 / 356 vs 162 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.50/Vidourek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vidourek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka—681312112J. Vidourek—11111110133
WMar 11 · 21:05R. Vosyka—1111113J. Vidourek—7490
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133WAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113WAug 31 · 18:35R. Neterda2.00611771R. Vosyka1.7311911113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101LAug 29 · 20:05R. Pokorny2.10111110113R. Vosyka1.67481281WAug 29 · 19:35M. Flesar2.7510101291R. Vosyka1.40121210113
J. Vidourek10
LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991WSep 1 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.501011116113J. Kabelka2.5012741182LAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170WAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133LAug 31 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.10711791R. Neterda1.6711811113
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