TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13055512
Played Aug 31Finished
Radim Pokorny
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
14121311117––––
Jan Vidourek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeRadim Pokorny to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Pokorny above · Jan Vidourek below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 68 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Radim Pokorny at 62.8%
68 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pokorny 5–2 Jan Vidourek Jan Vidourek has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pokorny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Pokorny
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pokorny 1580 vs Vidourek 1496
Pokorny
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pokorny 60% vs Vidourek 40%
Pokorny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pokorny 50% vs Vidourek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pokorny -2 · Vidourek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Pokorny) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPokorny 1.50 / Vidourek 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Pokorny)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13055512
Pokorny1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 41 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it80% 35 of 44
Vidourek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 45 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePokorny5wins
AwayVidourek2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderPokorny leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePokorny100%3 of 3
AwayVidourek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pokorny3Vidourek4n = 7Vidourek took 4 of 7
S2Pokorny6Vidourek1n = 7Pokorny took 6 of 7
S3Pokorny5Vidourek2n = 7Pokorny took 5 of 7
S4Pokorny1Vidourek2n = 3Vidourek took 2 of 3
S5Pokorny2Vidourek1n = 3Pokorny took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricPokornyVidourekP − VBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match38.331.3+7.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPokornyVidourekBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 289 vs 159 / 30749.8%51.8%144 / 289 vs 159 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PokornyPokorny 1.50/Vidourek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Pokorny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pokorny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 31 · 18:05R. Pokorny—1113113J. Vidourek—61130
WAug 30 · 19:05R. Pokorny—1111113J. Vidourek—9770
WAug 11 · 18:05R. Pokorny—1111113J. Vidourek—1470
WMar 26 · 22:05R. Pokorny—6111011113J. Vidourek—11212362
LMar 26 · 20:05R. Pokorny—59110J. Vidourek—1111133
WMar 14 · 16:05R. Pokorny—711116123J. Vidourek—119511102
LDec 23 · 11:35R. Pokorny—511117122J. Vidourek—117611143
R. Pokorny10
WSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670WSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113LSep 4 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7312471122R. Fitl2.001011116113LSep 1 · 13:50M. Holub1.691111113R. Pokorny1.978460LSep 1 · 12:05M. Holub1.731112113R. Pokorny2.0061030WSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7371113792R. Neterda2.001191111113LAug 31 · 20:05R. Pokorny1.736711101R. Neterda2.0011114123LAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113
J. Vidourek10
LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991WSep 1 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.501011116113J. Kabelka2.5012741182WAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133LAug 31 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.10711791R. Neterda1.6711811113
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