TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073971
Played Sep 4Finished
Radek Fnukal
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811119118811511
Radim Pokorny
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:12 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeRadek Fnukal to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Fnukal above · Radim Pokorny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 93 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Radek Fnukal at 61.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fnukal 4–3 Radim Pokorny Radim Pokorny has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fnukal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fnukal 1559 vs Pokorny 1552
Fnukal
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fnukal 40% vs Pokorny 20%
Fnukal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fnukal 30% vs Pokorny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fnukal +2 · Pokorny -3
Pokorny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fnukal) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pokorny form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFnukal 1.67 / Pokorny 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Fnukal)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13073971
Fnukal1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 22 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it61% 11 of 18
Pokorny2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 38 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeFnukal4wins
AwayPokorny3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderFnukal leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFnukaln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPokorny50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fnukal1Pokorny6n = 7Pokorny took 6 of 7
S2Fnukal5Pokorny2n = 7Fnukal took 5 of 7
S3Fnukal4Pokorny3n = 7Fnukal took 4 of 7
S4Fnukal3Pokorny2n = 5Fnukal took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricFnukalPokornyF − PBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match36.938.0−1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFnukalPokornyBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 123 vs 146 / 29550.4%49.5%62 / 123 vs 146 / 295Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FnukalFnukal 1.67/Pokorny 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Fnukal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pokorny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 12 · 13:05R. Fnukal—61111133R. Pokorny—1167111
LJul 12 · 12:35R. Fnukal—9880R. Pokorny—1111113
LJul 5 · 17:20R. Fnukal—611281R. Pokorny—11511113
LJul 5 · 14:05R. Fnukal—31210131R. Pokorny—111012153
WJun 28 · 13:35R. Fnukal—5101111113R. Pokorny—11129782
WJun 28 · 10:35R. Fnukal—1312113R. Pokorny—111090
WJun 8 · 10:35R. Fnukal—91111123R. Pokorny—1186101
R. Fnukal10
LSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172WSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113WAug 23 · 17:14D. Hons2.25119981R. Fnukal1.5781111113LAug 23 · 16:05P. Chvatal2.6351111113R. Fnukal1.44115591LAug 23 · 15:34D. Hons2.25131185113R. Fnukal1.57119111182LAug 23 · 14:35R. Fnukal1.411191113112J. Lovl2.60811415133WAug 14 · 13:04R. Fitl1.91135991R. Fnukal1.80111111113LAug 14 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.6111111010113R. Fnukal2.2074121262LAug 14 · 11:35J. Lovl2.6311216113R. Fnukal1.447111481
R. Pokorny10
WSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670LSep 4 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7312471122R. Fitl2.001011116113LSep 1 · 13:50M. Holub1.691111113R. Pokorny1.978460LSep 1 · 12:05M. Holub1.731112113R. Pokorny2.0061030WSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7371113792R. Neterda2.001191111113WAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170LAug 31 · 20:05R. Pokorny1.736711101R. Neterda2.0011114123LAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113
Upcoming Matches
R. Fnukal1 of 1 neutral
R. Pokorny
Nothing scheduled
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