TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073575
Played Sep 4Finished
Radim Pokorny
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210411711116211
Radek Fitl
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Pokorny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadim Pokorny above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 85 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Radim Pokorny at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pokorny 9–9 Radek Fitl Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pokorny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pokorny 1564 vs Fitl 1522
Pokorny
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pokorny 40% vs Fitl 60%
Fitl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pokorny 50% vs Fitl 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pokorny -2 · Fitl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pokorny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pokorny form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPokorny 1.73 / Fitl 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pokorny)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13073575
Pokorny1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 44 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Fitl2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 50 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePokorny5wins
AwayFitl5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePokorny66.7%2 of 3
AwayFitl57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pokorny3Fitl7n = 10Fitl took 7 of 10
S2Pokorny3Fitl7n = 10Fitl took 7 of 10
S3Pokorny7Fitl3n = 10Pokorny took 7 of 10
S4Pokorny4Fitl3n = 7Pokorny took 4 of 7
S5Pokorny2Fitl1n = 3Pokorny took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPokornyFitlP − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.837.2−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPokornyFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 294 vs 166 / 32349.7%51.4%146 / 294 vs 166 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PokornyPokorny 1.73/Fitl 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Pokorny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fitl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 20:05R. Pokorny—11911113R. Fitl—711691
WAug 15 · 13:40R. Pokorny—1111113R. Fitl—3730
LAug 15 · 12:05R. Pokorny—7111141R. Fitl—11136113
LAug 11 · 21:38R. Pokorny—561181R. Fitl—11119113
LAug 11 · 20:05R. Pokorny—14670R. Fitl—1611113
WAug 7 · 11:35R. Pokorny—611711133R. Fitl—114113112
WAug 6 · 11:05R. Pokorny—81111153R. Fitl—1167131
LAug 5 · 13:33R. Pokorny—12911652R. Fitl—1011511113
WAug 5 · 11:35R. Pokorny—771111113R. Fitl—11118892
LAug 4 · 12:05R. Pokorny—7670R. Fitl—1111113
R. Pokorny10
WSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670WSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113LSep 1 · 13:50M. Holub1.691111113R. Pokorny1.978460LSep 1 · 12:05M. Holub1.731112113R. Pokorny2.0061030WSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7371113792R. Neterda2.001191111113WAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170LAug 31 · 20:05R. Pokorny1.736711101R. Neterda2.0011114123LAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150WSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172
Upcoming Matches
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R. Fitl
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