TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051613
Played Aug 31Finished
Radim Pokorny
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012811––––
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:16 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Pokorny above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 54.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pokorny 5–8 Radek Vosyka Radim Pokorny has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:16What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pokorny 1620 vs Vosyka 1588
Pokorny
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pokorny 80% vs Vosyka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pokorny 60% vs Vosyka 40%
Pokorny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pokorny +4 · Vosyka +2
Pokorny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPokorny 2.00 / Vosyka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13051613
Pokorny2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 38 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back23% 11 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Vosyka1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it72% 61 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePokorny4wins
AwayVosyka6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePokorny50%2 of 4
AwayVosyka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pokorny4Vosyka6n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S2Pokorny5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S3Pokorny5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S4Pokorny2Vosyka7n = 9Vosyka took 7 of 9
S5Pokorny3Vosyka2n = 5Pokorny took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPokornyVosykaP − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.7−2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPokornyVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 287 vs 181 / 35350.2%51.3%144 / 287 vs 181 / 353Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaPokorny 2.00/Vosyka 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 13:34R. Pokorny—11611113R. Vosyka—511791
LJul 23 · 10:35R. Pokorny—9570R. Vosyka—1111113
LJul 20 · 11:35R. Pokorny—5111151R. Vosyka—11813113
WJul 16 · 11:05R. Pokorny—911115113R. Vosyka—11471122
LJul 13 · 11:05R. Pokorny—211121362R. Vosyka—1171411113
WJul 11 · 07:35R. Pokorny—116118113R. Vosyka—91171142
LJul 9 · 13:35R. Pokorny—721181R. Vosyka—11118113
WJul 9 · 11:35R. Pokorny—411119113R. Vosyka—11961122
LJul 8 · 11:35R. Pokorny—113961R. Vosyka—41111113
LJul 3 · 12:05R. Pokorny—11119372R. Vosyka—441111113
R. Pokorny10
WSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670WSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113LSep 4 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7312471122R. Fitl2.001011116113LSep 1 · 13:50M. Holub1.691111113R. Pokorny1.978460LSep 1 · 12:05M. Holub1.731112113R. Pokorny2.0061030WSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7371113792R. Neterda2.001191111113WAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170LAug 31 · 20:05R. Pokorny1.736711101R. Neterda2.0011114123
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133WAug 31 · 18:35R. Neterda2.00611771R. Vosyka1.7311911113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101LAug 29 · 20:05R. Pokorny2.10111110113R. Vosyka1.67481281WAug 29 · 19:35M. Flesar2.7510101291R. Vosyka1.40121210113
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