TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13052007
Played Aug 31Finished
Radek Vosyka
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611811131112101113
Jan Vidourek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:02 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Vosyka above · Jan Vidourek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 106 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 63.6%
106 points played in total.
H2H Radek Vosyka 1–0 Jan Vidourek Jan Vidourek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:02What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1603 vs Vidourek 1482
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 80% vs Vidourek 20%
Vosyka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Vidourek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +3 · Vidourek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vidourek form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.44 / Vidourek 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Vosyka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13052007
Vosyka1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it72% 61 of 85
Vidourek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 45 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVosyka1wins
AwayVidourek0wins
Vosyka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVosykaVidourekVosyka − VidourekBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaVidourekBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 354 vs 158 / 30651.4%51.6%182 / 354 vs 158 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.44/Vidourek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vidourek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMar 11 · 21:05R. Vosyka—1111113J. Vidourek—7490
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102WAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113WAug 31 · 18:35R. Neterda2.00611771R. Vosyka1.7311911113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101LAug 29 · 20:05R. Pokorny2.10111110113R. Vosyka1.67481281WAug 29 · 19:35M. Flesar2.7510101291R. Vosyka1.40121210113
J. Vidourek10
LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991WSep 1 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.501011116113J. Kabelka2.5012741182LAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170LAug 31 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.10711791R. Neterda1.6711811113
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