TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13057775
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012117114611118
Jan Kabelka
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:23 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeJan Vidourek to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jan Vidourek at 57.6%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 15–7 Jan Kabelka Jan Kabelka has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vidourek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-7 in 22
Vidourek
Correct
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vidourek 1476 vs Kabelka 1429
Vidourek
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vidourek 20% vs Kabelka 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vidourek 30% vs Kabelka 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vidourek -1 · Kabelka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vidourek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kabelka form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 1.50 / Kabelka 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Vidourek)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13057775
Vidourek1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 51 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Kabelka2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 49 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVidourek7wins
AwayKabelka3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVidourek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourek100%5 of 5
AwayKabelka60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek5Kabelka5n = 10split evenly
S2Vidourek6Kabelka4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S3Vidourek4Kabelka6n = 10Kabelka took 6 of 10
S4Vidourek3Kabelka2n = 5Vidourek took 3 of 5
S5Vidourek3Kabelka0n = 3Vidourek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVidourekKabelkaV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.336.6+1.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 308 vs 124 / 25551.6%48.6%159 / 308 vs 124 / 255Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VidourekVidourek 1.50/Kabelka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Vidourek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vidourek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 19:05J. Vidourek—1112113J. Kabelka—81060
LAug 12 · 21:45J. Vidourek—37100J. Kabelka—1111123
LAug 12 · 19:05J. Vidourek—9580J. Kabelka—1111113
WJul 29 · 21:45J. Vidourek—1191110123J. Kabelka—811912102
WJul 29 · 19:05J. Vidourek—6111211113J. Kabelka—11814552
WJul 27 · 21:50J. Vidourek—11119133J. Kabelka—2511111
WJul 27 · 19:05J. Vidourek—714117113J. Kabelka—111271172
WJul 26 · 20:35J. Vidourek—11179123J. Kabelka—81511101
WJul 15 · 19:05J. Vidourek—1112133J. Kabelka—710110
LJul 12 · 19:35J. Vidourek—9690J. Kabelka—1111113
J. Vidourek10
LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991LAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170WAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133LAug 31 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.10711791R. Neterda1.6711811113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113LSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113
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