TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071374
Played Sep 3Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113118115––––
Jan Vidourek
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:41 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Jan Vidourek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Radek Fitl at 62.4%
49 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 8–3 Jan Vidourek Jan Vidourek has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Fitl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Fitl
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1517 vs Vidourek 1494
Fitl
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 20% vs Vidourek 80%
Vidourek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 40% vs Vidourek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl -1 · Vidourek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Fitl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vidourek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 1.53 / Vidourek 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Fitl)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13071374
Fitl1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 71 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Vidourek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 47 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFitl8wins
AwayVidourek2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderFitl leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitl60%3 of 5
AwayVidourek0%0 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl5Vidourek5n = 10split evenly
S2Fitl8Vidourek2n = 10Fitl took 8 of 10
S3Fitl6Vidourek4n = 10Fitl took 6 of 10
S4Fitl5Vidourek2n = 7Fitl took 5 of 7
S5Fitl4Vidourek2n = 6Fitl took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFitlVidourekF − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.736.9+4.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlVidourekBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 321 vs 163 / 31451.4%51.9%165 / 321 vs 163 / 314Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlFitl 1.53/Vidourek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fitl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl—1111113J. Vidourek—3850
WAug 30 · 21:05R. Fitl—1111113J. Vidourek—9650
WAug 30 · 18:35R. Fitl—1011911113J. Vidourek—12711852
LAug 11 · 19:35R. Fitl—11119732J. Vidourek—891111113
WAug 4 · 19:35R. Fitl—1111113J. Vidourek—7680
LJul 26 · 16:35R. Fitl—13116572J. Vidourek—1161111113
WJul 19 · 19:35R. Fitl—411811113J. Vidourek—11311872
WJun 26 · 18:05R. Fitl—561111113J. Vidourek—11117672
WMay 7 · 18:05R. Fitl—961112113J. Vidourek—111171082
WMar 7 · 19:35R. Fitl—91112133J. Vidourek—11810111
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150WSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172
J. Vidourek10
LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991WSep 1 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.501011116113J. Kabelka2.5012741182LAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170WAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133LAug 31 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.10711791R. Neterda1.6711811113
Upcoming Matches
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J. Vidourek
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