TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051997
Played Aug 31Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118711911––
Radek Neterda
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:03 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Neterda to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · Radek Neterda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radek Neterda at 57.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 4–5 Radek Neterda Jan Vidourek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Neterda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vidourek 1493 vs Neterda 1531
Neterda
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vidourek 20% vs Neterda 40%
Neterda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vidourek 40% vs Neterda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vidourek -2 · Neterda -3
Neterda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neterda form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 2.10 / Neterda 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Neterda)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13051997
Vidourek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 45 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Neterda1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 53 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVidourek4wins
AwayNeterda5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderNeterda leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourek60%3 of 5
AwayNeterda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek5Neterda4n = 9Vidourek took 5 of 9
S2Vidourek6Neterda3n = 9Vidourek took 6 of 9
S3Vidourek5Neterda4n = 9Vidourek took 5 of 9
S4Vidourek3Neterda4n = 7Neterda took 4 of 7
S5Vidourek1Neterda3n = 4Neterda took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricVidourekNeterdaV − NBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match38.740.2−1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekNeterdaBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 305 vs 189 / 37351.8%50.7%158 / 305 vs 189 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaVidourek 2.10/Neterda 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 26 · 21:40J. Vidourek—1112113R. Neterda—51030
LJul 26 · 18:35J. Vidourek—71261242R. Neterda—11101110113
LJul 26 · 17:43J. Vidourek—5111081R. Neterda—11912113
WJul 26 · 14:05J. Vidourek—71211123R. Neterda—11109101
WJul 2 · 19:35J. Vidourek—111145113R. Neterda—94111132
LJun 28 · 21:40J. Vidourek—116681R. Neterda—81111113
LJun 28 · 19:05J. Vidourek—11312882R. Neterda—8111011113
LMar 8 · 21:05J. Vidourek—48111152R. Neterda—111153113
WJan 23 · 20:35J. Vidourek—1116163R. Neterda—914140
J. Vidourek10
LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991WSep 1 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.501011116113J. Kabelka2.5012741182LAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170WAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133
R. Neterda10
LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113WSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113WSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562WSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113LSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123LSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113
Upcoming Matches
J. Vidourek
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R. Neterda
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