TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076336
Played Sep 4Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210115––––
Jan Manhal Jr
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeJan Manhal Jr to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Jan Manhal Jr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 58 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jan Manhal Jr at 60.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 1–0 Jan Manhal Jr Jan Manhal Jr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:38What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Neterda 1546 vs Jr 1475
Neterda
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neterda 20% vs Jr 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neterda 30% vs Jr 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Neterda -4 · Jr -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 2.38 / Jr 1.53
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Neterda)+5.2pp
TT Cup · #13076336
Neterda2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 40 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Jr1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 8 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it63% 5 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNeterda1wins
AwayJr0wins
Neterda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNeterdaJrN − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.024.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaJrBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 384 vs 15 / 3450.8%44.1%195 / 384 vs 15 / 34Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrNeterda 2.38/Jr 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.6%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda—1112113J. Jr—91050
R. Neterda10
LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113WSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113WSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113LSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123LSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:05M. Holub2.0051112133R. Neterda1.7311810111
J. Jr10
WSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113WSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110LSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150LAug 24 · 17:18J. Jr1.8361161182R. Fitl1.83118119113LAug 24 · 16:35J. Martin1.57111114153J. Jr2.256916131WAug 24 · 15:35J. Jr1.9111212113R. Fitl1.808111061LAug 24 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50911511113J. Jr2.5011711682LAug 23 · 09:05J. Jr1.831191151R. Vavricka1.8313115113WAug 23 · 08:35J. Jr1.911111113R. Vavricka1.805690LAug 23 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.831111113J. Jr1.837570
Upcoming Matches
R. Neterda
J. Jr
Nothing scheduled
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