TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13001223
Played Aug 24Finished
Radek Vosyka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117511116118
Jan Manhal Jr
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Vosyka above · Jan Manhal Jr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 90 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 69.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Radek Vosyka 2–1 Jan Manhal Jr Jan Manhal Jr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1649 vs Jr 1485
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 80% vs Jr 20%
Vosyka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 60% vs Jr 40%
Vosyka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +2 · Jr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.50 / Jr 2.50
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Vosyka)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #13001223
Vosyka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 76 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it100% 47 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it74% 59 of 80
Jr2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 4 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVosyka2wins
AwayJr1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderVosyka leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka66.7%2 of 3
AwayJrn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka3Jr0n = 3Vosyka took 3 of 3
S2Vosyka2Jr1n = 3Vosyka took 2 of 3
S3Vosyka1Jr2n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVosykaJrV − JBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match41.335.0+6.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaJrBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 336 vs 12 / 2651.2%46.2%172 / 336 vs 12 / 26Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.50/Jr 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 23 · 06:35R. Vosyka—111196113J. Jr—78111192
LAug 19 · 16:35R. Vosyka—118101132J. Jr—511126113
WAug 13 · 14:05R. Vosyka—1111113J. Jr—6620
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133WAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113WAug 31 · 18:35R. Neterda2.00611771R. Vosyka1.7311911113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101LAug 29 · 20:05R. Pokorny2.10111110113R. Vosyka1.67481281
J. Jr10
WSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113WSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110LSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150LAug 24 · 17:18J. Jr1.8361161182R. Fitl1.83118119113LAug 24 · 16:35J. Martin1.57111114153J. Jr2.256916131WAug 24 · 15:35J. Jr1.9111212113R. Fitl1.808111061LAug 23 · 09:05J. Jr1.831191151R. Vavricka1.8313115113WAug 23 · 08:35J. Jr1.911111113R. Vavricka1.805690LAug 23 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.831111113J. Jr1.837570
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.