TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051559
Played Aug 31Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119711711––
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:55 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 56.2%
73 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 5–11 Radek Vosyka Radek Neterda has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neterda 1542 vs Vosyka 1577
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neterda 60% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neterda 60% vs Vosyka 30%
Neterda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neterda -2 · Vosyka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 2.00 / Vosyka 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13051559
Neterda2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 38 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 39
Vosyka1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it72% 61 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeterda4wins
AwayVosyka6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterda75%3 of 4
AwayVosyka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda4Vosyka6n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S2Neterda4Vosyka6n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S3Neterda5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S4Neterda2Vosyka4n = 6Vosyka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeterdaVosykaN − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.236.4−2.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 372 vs 180 / 35250.8%51.1%189 / 372 vs 180 / 352Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaNeterda 2.00/Vosyka 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 12:35R. Neterda—12611113R. Vosyka—1011891
LAug 16 · 06:35R. Neterda—5870R. Vosyka—1111113
LAug 15 · 15:35R. Neterda—9880R. Vosyka—1111113
WAug 12 · 17:05R. Neterda—81111133R. Vosyka—1188111
WAug 12 · 16:35R. Neterda—1111113R. Vosyka—6680
LJul 17 · 10:05R. Neterda—6740R. Vosyka—1111113
LJun 23 · 10:05R. Neterda—141161172R. Vosyka—1241113113
LMay 28 · 11:35R. Neterda—61011101R. Vosyka—11123123
LMay 20 · 10:35R. Neterda—911571R. Vosyka—11811113
WMay 18 · 11:35R. Neterda—1131110113R. Vosyka—41161262
R. Neterda10
LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113WSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113WSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562WSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113LSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123LSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133WAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101LAug 29 · 20:05R. Pokorny2.10111110113R. Vosyka1.67481281WAug 29 · 19:35M. Flesar2.7510101291R. Vosyka1.40121210113
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