TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071355
Played Sep 3Finished
David Hons
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111210511811––
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:40 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Hons above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 62.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H David Hons 9–12 Radek Vosyka David Hons has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:40What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hons 1535 vs Vosyka 1594
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hons 60% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hons 60% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hons +2 · Vosyka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHons 2.50 / Vosyka 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Vosyka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13071355
Hons2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 63 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Vosyka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 82 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it73% 64 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHons4wins
AwayVosyka6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHons50%3 of 6
AwayVosyka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hons6Vosyka4n = 10Hons took 6 of 10
S2Hons5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S3Hons3Vosyka7n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S4Hons2Vosyka4n = 6Vosyka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHonsVosykaH − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.237.9−1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHonsVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 464 vs 184 / 35849.6%51.4%230 / 464 vs 184 / 358Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaHons 2.50/Vosyka 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons—612581R. Vosyka—111011113
LAug 29 · 18:35D. Hons—97100R. Vosyka—1111123
WJul 16 · 10:05D. Hons—1111113R. Vosyka—8480
LJul 14 · 10:05D. Hons—109110R. Vosyka—1211133
LJun 12 · 14:05D. Hons—111198112R. Vosyka—991111133
LMay 31 · 21:05D. Hons—119951R. Vosyka—91111113
WMay 31 · 20:35D. Hons—1112113R. Vosyka—71070
LMay 17 · 21:10D. Hons—132951R. Vosyka—111111113
WMay 17 · 20:35D. Hons—61111113R. Vosyka—118551
WMay 11 · 15:05D. Hons—1181111153R. Vosyka—911138132
D. Hons10
LSep 3 · 21:08D. Hons2.259440R. Fitl1.571111113LSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851WSep 3 · 18:05R. Fitl1.676650D. Hons2.101111113WAug 29 · 21:10D. Hons1.831114138113R. Pokorny1.83712151182LAug 29 · 20:35D. Hons1.531411961M. Flesar2.3816911113WAug 29 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.7351161182D. Hons2.00117115113LAug 29 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.611111123D. Hons2.2097100WAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.571111133D. Hons2.2597110LAug 27 · 15:35L. Vosyka1.73611711133D. Hons2.00115116112
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133WAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113WAug 31 · 18:35R. Neterda2.00611771R. Vosyka1.7311911113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101LAug 29 · 20:05R. Pokorny2.10111110113R. Vosyka1.67481281WAug 29 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.611111123D. Hons2.2097100
Upcoming Matches
D. Hons
R. Vosyka
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