TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13040899
Played Aug 29Finished
Radek Vosyka
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191171210––––
David Hons
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Hons to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Vosyka above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 60 set 3, 12-10 — our read held David Hons at 59.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Radek Vosyka 10–9 David Hons David Hons has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:57What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1563 vs Hons 1518
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 0% vs Hons 60%
Hons
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 40% vs Hons 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -5 · Hons +1
Vosyka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.61 / Hons 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Vosyka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13040899
Vosyka1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 77 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it71% 58 of 82
Hons2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 62 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka6wins
AwayHons4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka75%3 of 4
AwayHons50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka4Hons6n = 10Hons took 6 of 10
S2Vosyka6Hons4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S3Vosyka7Hons3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S4Vosyka3Hons2n = 5Vosyka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaHonsV − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.735.0+2.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 348 vs 227 / 45850.9%49.6%177 / 348 vs 227 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.61/Hons 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 10:05R. Vosyka—8480D. Hons—1111113
WJul 14 · 10:05R. Vosyka—1211133D. Hons—109110
WJun 12 · 14:05R. Vosyka—991111133D. Hons—111198112
WMay 31 · 21:05R. Vosyka—91111113D. Hons—119951
LMay 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka—71070D. Hons—1112113
WMay 17 · 21:10R. Vosyka—111111113D. Hons—132951
LMay 17 · 20:35R. Vosyka—118551D. Hons—61111113
LMay 11 · 15:05R. Vosyka—911138132D. Hons—1181111153
WMay 6 · 16:35R. Vosyka—1111113D. Hons—7430
WMay 6 · 13:10R. Vosyka—1120113D. Hons—61870
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133WAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113WAug 31 · 18:35R. Neterda2.00611771R. Vosyka1.7311911113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101LAug 29 · 20:05R. Pokorny2.10111110113R. Vosyka1.67481281
D. Hons10
LSep 3 · 21:08D. Hons2.259440R. Fitl1.571111113LSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113WSep 3 · 18:05R. Fitl1.676650D. Hons2.101111113WAug 29 · 21:10D. Hons1.831114138113R. Pokorny1.83712151182LAug 29 · 20:35D. Hons1.531411961M. Flesar2.3816911113WAug 29 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.7351161182D. Hons2.00117115113WAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.571111133D. Hons2.2597110LAug 27 · 15:35L. Vosyka1.73611711133D. Hons2.00115116112
Upcoming Matches
R. Vosyka
Nothing scheduled
D. Hons
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