TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13041074
Played Aug 29Finished
Radim Pokorny
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141181012118––
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:59 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadim Pokorny above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 56.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pokorny 5–8 Radek Vosyka Radim Pokorny has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pokorny 1543 vs Vosyka 1593
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pokorny 60% vs Vosyka 40%
Pokorny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pokorny 60% vs Vosyka 40%
Pokorny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pokorny -2 · Vosyka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPokorny 2.10 / Vosyka 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13041074
Pokorny2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 35 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Vosyka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 77 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it71% 58 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePokorny4wins
AwayVosyka6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePokorny50%2 of 4
AwayVosyka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pokorny4Vosyka6n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S2Pokorny5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S3Pokorny5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S4Pokorny2Vosyka7n = 9Vosyka took 7 of 9
S5Pokorny3Vosyka2n = 5Pokorny took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPokornyVosykaP − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.7−2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPokornyVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 276 vs 179 / 35049.6%51.1%137 / 276 vs 179 / 350Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaPokorny 2.10/Vosyka 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pokorny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 13:34R. Pokorny—11611113R. Vosyka—511791
LJul 23 · 10:35R. Pokorny—9570R. Vosyka—1111113
LJul 20 · 11:35R. Pokorny—5111151R. Vosyka—11813113
WJul 16 · 11:05R. Pokorny—911115113R. Vosyka—11471122
LJul 13 · 11:05R. Pokorny—211121362R. Vosyka—1171411113
WJul 11 · 07:35R. Pokorny—116118113R. Vosyka—91171142
LJul 9 · 13:35R. Pokorny—721181R. Vosyka—11118113
WJul 9 · 11:35R. Pokorny—411119113R. Vosyka—11961122
LJul 8 · 11:35R. Pokorny—113961R. Vosyka—41111113
LJul 3 · 12:05R. Pokorny—11119372R. Vosyka—441111113
R. Pokorny10
WSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670WSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113LSep 4 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7312471122R. Fitl2.001011116113LSep 1 · 13:50M. Holub1.691111113R. Pokorny1.978460LSep 1 · 12:05M. Holub1.731112113R. Pokorny2.0061030WSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7371113792R. Neterda2.001191111113WAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170LAug 31 · 20:05R. Pokorny1.736711101R. Neterda2.0011114123
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133WAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113WAug 31 · 18:35R. Neterda2.00611771R. Vosyka1.7311911113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101WAug 29 · 19:35M. Flesar2.7510101291R. Vosyka1.40121210113
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