TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073935
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Joksch
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116117––––
Radim Pokorny
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Joksch to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Joksch above · Radim Pokorny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Joksch at 75.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Joksch 3–0 Radim Pokorny Radim Pokorny has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Joksch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Joksch
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Joksch 1724 vs Pokorny 1563
Joksch
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Joksch 80% vs Pokorny 40%
Joksch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Joksch 60% vs Pokorny 40%
Joksch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Joksch +1 · Pokorny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Joksch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pokorny form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJoksch 1.30 / Pokorny 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Joksch)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13073935
Joksch1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 17 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Pokorny3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 38 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJoksch3wins
AwayPokorny0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderJoksch leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJoksch100%3 of 3
AwayPokornyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Joksch3Pokorny0n = 3Joksch took 3 of 3
S2Joksch3Pokorny0n = 3Joksch took 3 of 3
S3Joksch2Pokorny1n = 3Joksch took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJokschPokornyJ − PBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match39.028.3+10.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokschPokornyBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 100 vs 147 / 29650%49.7%50 / 100 vs 147 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokschJoksch 1.30/Pokorny 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Joksch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Joksch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 7 · 13:40J. Joksch—1111123R. Pokorny—57100
WAug 7 · 12:05J. Joksch—1211113R. Pokorny—10850
WJul 12 · 10:35J. Joksch—111476113R. Pokorny—212111142
J. Joksch10
WSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172WSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970WSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113LSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442LSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 11:05J. Joksch1.361111113R. Fitl3.009870LSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113WSep 1 · 17:45J. Joksch1.691112113J. Ruzicka1.9771060WSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113WSep 1 · 15:35J. Ruzicka2.5091111672J. Joksch1.50117911113
R. Pokorny10
WSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982WSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113LSep 4 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7312471122R. Fitl2.001011116113LSep 1 · 13:50M. Holub1.691111113R. Pokorny1.978460LSep 1 · 12:05M. Holub1.731112113R. Pokorny2.0061030WSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7371113792R. Neterda2.001191111113WAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170LAug 31 · 20:05R. Pokorny1.736711101R. Neterda2.0011114123LAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113
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