TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058094
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911117119611711
Jakub Joksch
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Joksch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · Jakub Joksch below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Joksch at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:14What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Joksch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1708 vs Joksch 1692
Ruzicka
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 80% vs Joksch 40%
Ruzicka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 80% vs Joksch 40%
Ruzicka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +3 · Joksch +1
Ruzicka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Joksch) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Joksch form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.50 / Joksch 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Joksch)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13058094
Ruzicka2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog56% won 57 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Joksch1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 14 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaJokschBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 401 vs 46 / 9552.4%48.4%210 / 401 vs 46 / 95Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokschRuzicka 2.50/Joksch 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Joksch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Joksch won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972WSep 5 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.6191411113J. Martin2.201112541LSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162LSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113
J. Joksch10
WSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172WSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970WSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113LSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442LSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670WSep 4 · 11:05J. Joksch1.361111113R. Fitl3.009870LSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113WSep 1 · 17:45J. Joksch1.691112113J. Ruzicka1.9771060WSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113
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