TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051741
Played Aug 31Finished
Radim Pokorny
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6117111141012––
Radek Neterda
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:46 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeRadim Pokorny to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadim Pokorny above · Radek Neterda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 72 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Radim Pokorny at 54.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pokorny 21–14 Radek Neterda Radek Neterda has won 14 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pokorny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-14 in 35
Pokorny
Wrong
gap of 7 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pokorny 1606 vs Neterda 1541
Pokorny
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pokorny 80% vs Neterda 40%
Pokorny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pokorny 60% vs Neterda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pokorny -1 · Neterda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pokorny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pokorny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPokorny 1.73 / Neterda 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pokorny)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13051741
Pokorny1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 41 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it80% 35 of 44
Neterda2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 38 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePokorny6wins
AwayNeterda4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPokorny leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePokorny75%6 of 8
AwayNeterdan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pokorny8Neterda2n = 10Pokorny took 8 of 10
S2Pokorny4Neterda6n = 10Neterda took 6 of 10
S3Pokorny5Neterda5n = 10split evenly
S4Pokorny5Neterda3n = 8Pokorny took 5 of 8
S5Pokorny2Neterda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPokornyNeterdaP − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.636.8+2.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPokornyNeterdaBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 288 vs 190 / 37450%50.8%144 / 288 vs 190 / 374Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PokornyPokorny 1.73/Neterda 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Pokorny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 10:35R. Pokorny—1012121152R. Neterda—1214106113
WAug 10 · 12:05R. Pokorny—11211113R. Neterda—811991
LAug 6 · 13:35R. Pokorny—10111081R. Neterda—12112113
LAug 6 · 10:05R. Pokorny—12411292R. Neterda—1011711113
WAug 4 · 13:05R. Pokorny—11115113R. Neterda—571181
WAug 4 · 11:05R. Pokorny—11101011113R. Neterda—81212282
WJul 27 · 14:35R. Pokorny—1212113R. Neterda—101070
WJul 25 · 13:04R. Pokorny—1111113R. Neterda—5910
WJul 25 · 10:05R. Pokorny—119711113R. Neterda—91111522
LJul 19 · 12:35R. Pokorny—112581R. Neterda—61111113
R. Pokorny10
WSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670WSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113LSep 4 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7312471122R. Fitl2.001011116113LSep 1 · 13:50M. Holub1.691111113R. Pokorny1.978460LSep 1 · 12:05M. Holub1.731112113R. Pokorny2.0061030WSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7371113792R. Neterda2.001191111113WAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170LAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113
R. Neterda10
LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113WSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113WSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562WSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113LSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123WSep 1 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7371113792R. Neterda2.001191111113
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R. Neterda
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