TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058995
Played Sep 1Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11791111810121012
Ondrej Pros
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Pros to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 101 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Ondrej Pros at 56.3%
101 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 2–8 Ondrej Pros Radek Neterda has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:13What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Neterda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Pros
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neterda 1512 vs Pros 1428
Neterda
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neterda 40% vs Pros 20%
Neterda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neterda 40% vs Pros 20%
Neterda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neterda -2 · Pros +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Neterda) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 1.73 / Pros 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Neterda)+2.1pp
TT Cup · #13058995
Neterda1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 54 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Pros2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 33 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeterda2wins
AwayPros8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPros leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterda50%2 of 4
AwayPros100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda4Pros6n = 10Pros took 6 of 10
S2Neterda2Pros8n = 10Pros took 8 of 10
S3Neterda5Pros5n = 10split evenly
S4Neterda2Pros5n = 7Pros took 5 of 7
S5Neterda1Pros3n = 4Pros took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeterdaProsN − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.642.4−3.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaProsBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 380 vs 111 / 23950.5%46.4%192 / 380 vs 111 / 239Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaNeterda 1.73/Pros 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda—1191110102O. Pros—711812123
LSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda—10111591O. Pros—121313113
LAug 4 · 12:35R. Neterda—8920O. Pros—1111113
LJun 28 · 18:05R. Neterda—131081172O. Pros—1112118113
LJun 15 · 10:35R. Neterda—91150O. Pros—1113113
LMar 13 · 14:05R. Neterda—5111212102O. Pros—1191014123
WMar 13 · 12:35R. Neterda—118119153O. Pros—511611132
LFeb 21 · 14:40R. Neterda—6970O. Pros—1111113
WDec 26 · 13:35R. Neterda—11811113O. Pros—911261
LDec 17 · 13:35R. Neterda—711751O. Pros—11811113
R. Neterda10
LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113WSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113WSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562WSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113LSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:05M. Holub2.0051112133R. Neterda1.7311810111
O. Pros10
LSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143WSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143LSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540WSep 3 · 10:35O. Pros2.0011811113M. Chmelicek1.73711871WSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Holub1.2011811113O. Pros4.33811851LAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 16:35O. Pros2.385440L. Vosyka1.531111113LAug 27 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.36991111113O. Pros3.0011118542
Upcoming Matches
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O. Pros
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