TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029137
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911911118115114
Ondrej Pros
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:49 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeJan Ruzicka to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 90 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Jan Ruzicka at 71.6%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jan Ruzicka 1–0 Ondrej Pros Ondrej Pros has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1645 vs Pros 1440
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 60% vs Pros 40%
Ruzicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 70% vs Pros 50%
Ruzicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +1 · Pros -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.36 / Pros 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Ruzicka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13029137
Ruzicka1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 77 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it85% 63 of 74
Pros3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 33 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRuzicka1wins
AwayPros0wins
Ruzicka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRuzickaProsR − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.025.0+17.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaProsBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 393 vs 109 / 23251.7%47%203 / 393 vs 109 / 232Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.36/Pros 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 28 · 10:05J. Ruzicka—11911113O. Pros—811241
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972WSep 5 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.6191411113J. Martin2.201112541LSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162LSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113
O. Pros10
LSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143WSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143LSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540WSep 3 · 10:35O. Pros2.0011811113M. Chmelicek1.73711871WSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123WSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Holub1.2011811113O. Pros4.33811851LAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 16:35O. Pros2.385440L. Vosyka1.531111113
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