TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029558
Played Aug 27Finished
Ondrej Pros
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411411––––
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Pros above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 46 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 55.4%
46 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Pros 3–2 Ladislav Vosyka Ladislav Vosyka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pros 1435 vs Vosyka 1495
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pros 20% vs Vosyka 60%
Vosyka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pros 40% vs Vosyka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pros -3 · Vosyka +1
Pros
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPros 2.38 / Vosyka 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Vosyka)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13029558
Pros2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 33 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Vosyka1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 70 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it74% 52 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePros3wins
AwayVosyka2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderPros leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePros66.7%2 of 3
AwayVosykan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pros3Vosyka2n = 5Pros took 3 of 5
S2Pros2Vosyka3n = 5Vosyka took 3 of 5
S3Pros2Vosyka3n = 5Vosyka took 3 of 5
S4Pros1Vosyka3n = 4Vosyka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricProsVosykaP − VBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.441.2−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProsVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 233 vs 201 / 39646.8%50.8%109 / 233 vs 201 / 396Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaPros 2.38/Vosyka 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.4%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 22 · 17:05O. Pros—7890L. Vosyka—1111113
WJul 22 · 15:35O. Pros—111110113L. Vosyka—981261
WJul 17 · 15:05O. Pros—1171110113L. Vosyka—91181292
LJun 22 · 17:10O. Pros—14118101L. Vosyka—121311123
WJun 22 · 14:05O. Pros—511114113L. Vosyka—11741182
O. Pros10
LSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143WSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143LSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540WSep 3 · 10:35O. Pros2.0011811113M. Chmelicek1.73711871WSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123WSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Holub1.2011811113O. Pros4.33811851LAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.36991111113O. Pros3.0011118542
L. Vosyka10
WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531WSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:05L. Vosyka1.6711611942M. Flesar2.10711611113LSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka1.3661570P. Pesout3.001117113LSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113WSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113
Upcoming Matches
O. Pros
Nothing scheduled
L. Vosyka1 of 2 neutral
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