TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063852
Played Sep 2Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611116911411
Milan Flesar
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:24 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Milan Flesar below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 87 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 58.2%
87 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 8–3 Milan Flesar Milan Flesar has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:24What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1491 vs Flesar 1504
Flesar
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 40% vs Flesar 60%
Flesar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Flesar 70%
Flesar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -3 · Flesar +2
Vosyka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flesar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.67 / Flesar 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13063852
Vosyka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it76% 58 of 76
Flesar2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 38 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka7wins
AwayFlesar3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka71.4%5 of 7
AwayFlesar33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka7Flesar3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S2Vosyka7Flesar3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S3Vosyka8Flesar2n = 10Vosyka took 8 of 10
S4Vosyka5Flesar1n = 6Vosyka took 5 of 6
S5Vosyka0Flesar3n = 3Flesar took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaFlesarV − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.531.9+6.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaFlesarBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 412 vs 198 / 37551%52.8%210 / 412 vs 198 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.67/Flesar 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Flesar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 21:40L. Vosyka—11961172M. Flesar—911116113
LAug 25 · 18:35L. Vosyka—98111132M. Flesar—111187113
WAug 23 · 18:35L. Vosyka—11119113M. Flesar—981161
WAug 9 · 16:35L. Vosyka—1111113M. Flesar—7880
WJun 29 · 14:35L. Vosyka—1111113M. Flesar—5350
WJun 21 · 18:05L. Vosyka—1211123M. Flesar—106100
WJun 14 · 18:05L. Vosyka—81111113M. Flesar—118231
LApr 24 · 19:05L. Vosyka—12511752M. Flesar—1011711113
WApr 22 · 19:05L. Vosyka—91111113M. Flesar—113991
WApr 16 · 19:05L. Vosyka—1111113M. Flesar—8760
L. Vosyka10
WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531WSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka1.3661570P. Pesout3.001117113LSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113WSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:35J. Kabelka2.509119101L. Vosyka1.5011811123
M. Flesar10
LSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140WSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143LSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:35M. Flesar3.255980J. Lovl1.331111113LSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113LSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110WSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113WSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143LSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143
Upcoming Matches
L. Vosyka1 of 1 neutral
M. Flesar
Nothing scheduled
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