TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058101
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Kabelka
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111189111012––
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kabelka above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 81 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 60.1%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kabelka 3–4 Ladislav Vosyka Jan Kabelka has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:14What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kabelka 1420 vs Vosyka 1534
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kabelka 20% vs Vosyka 60%
Vosyka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kabelka 20% vs Vosyka 60%
Vosyka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kabelka -3 · Vosyka +1
Kabelka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kabelka form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKabelka 2.50 / Vosyka 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13058101
Kabelka2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 49 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Vosyka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKabelka3wins
AwayVosyka4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderVosyka leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKabelka66.7%2 of 3
AwayVosyka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kabelka3Vosyka4n = 7Vosyka took 4 of 7
S2Kabelka3Vosyka4n = 7Vosyka took 4 of 7
S3Kabelka3Vosyka4n = 7Vosyka took 4 of 7
S4Kabelka1Vosyka3n = 4Vosyka took 3 of 4
S5Kabelka2Vosyka1n = 3Kabelka took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKabelkaVosykaK − VBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match34.738.4−3.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKabelkaVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 256 vs 208 / 40748.4%51.1%124 / 256 vs 208 / 407Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaKabelka 2.50/Vosyka 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 25 · 20:05J. Kabelka—111181092L. Vosyka—781112113
WAug 20 · 20:35J. Kabelka—1111113L. Vosyka—5970
WAug 16 · 21:14J. Kabelka—8111112113L. Vosyka—119131082
LAug 16 · 18:35J. Kabelka—651241L. Vosyka—111110113
LAug 13 · 18:35J. Kabelka—5530L. Vosyka—1111113
WAug 12 · 18:35J. Kabelka—117119113L. Vosyka—51171152
LJun 14 · 19:05J. Kabelka—6760L. Vosyka—1111113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113LSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113
L. Vosyka10
WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531WSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:05L. Vosyka1.6711611942M. Flesar2.10711611113LSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka1.3661570P. Pesout3.001117113LSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113WSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113
Upcoming Matches
J. Kabelka
Nothing scheduled
L. Vosyka1 of 1 neutral
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