TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067301
Played Sep 2Finished
Jaroslav Hajek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141311118––––
Jan Kabelka
Away
1.71
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kabelka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1141311118––––
H2H Jaroslav Hajek 0–1 Jan Kabelka Jaroslav Hajek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Kabelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1391 vs Kabelka 1413
Kabelka
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 40% vs Kabelka 20%
Hajek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 30% vs Kabelka 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek +1 · Kabelka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kabelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kabelka form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 2.00 / Kabelka 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kabelka)+0.1pp
TT Cup · #13067301
Hajek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kabelka1.71
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 35 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it84% 26 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHajek0wins
AwayKabelka1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKabelka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHajekKabelkaH − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.051.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 23 vs 126 / 26339.1%47.9%9 / 23 vs 126 / 263Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KabelkaHajek 2.00/Kabelka 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kabelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek—111184112J. Kabelka—791111133
J. Hajek10
WSep 3 · 13:14M. Chmelicek1.8381161182J. Hajek1.83116115113LSep 3 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.73511714113J. Hajek2.00117111292WSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540LSep 3 · 10:05M. Flesar1.91117119113J. Hajek1.8011181172WSep 2 · 20:35M. Rojka1.8391314892J. Hajek1.8311111211113LSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281WAug 21 · 21:05R. Jaros1.8318111182J. Hajek1.83111199113LAug 21 · 20:05J. Hajek2.001051391J. Horky1.73121111113LAug 21 · 19:05J. Hajek1.7311512762M. Chmelicek2.009111011113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113LSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113WSep 1 · 20:35T. Krcil1.57127611112J. Kabelka2.251011117133
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