TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13061039
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Kabelka
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511711––––
Tomas Krcil
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Kabelka above · Tomas Krcil below
Set 1 · 1-0
Point 1 set 1, 1-0
1 points drawn · the score is 48 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jan Kabelka 9–16 Tomas Krcil Jan Kabelka has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krcil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKabelka 2.00 / Krcil 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krcil)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13061039
Kabelka2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 49 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Krcil1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 42 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it68% 28 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKabelka3wins
AwayKrcil7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrcil leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKabelkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKrcil75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kabelka2Krcil8n = 10Krcil took 8 of 10
S2Kabelka5Krcil5n = 10split evenly
S3Kabelka4Krcil6n = 10Krcil took 6 of 10
S4Kabelka4Krcil2n = 6Kabelka took 4 of 6
S5Kabelka2Krcil4n = 6Krcil took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKabelkaKrcilKabelka − KrcilBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.442.2−3.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKabelkaKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 258 vs 133 / 25848.5%51.6%125 / 258 vs 133 / 258Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrcilKabelka 2.00/Krcil 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Krcil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krcil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 20:35J. Kabelka—1011117133T. Krcil—127611112
LAug 26 · 21:10J. Kabelka—6440T. Krcil—1111113
LAug 26 · 20:05J. Kabelka—68111382T. Krcil—1111911113
LJun 16 · 19:35J. Kabelka—6780T. Krcil—1111113
LJun 11 · 21:20J. Kabelka—39120T. Krcil—1111143
WJun 11 · 19:05J. Kabelka—1111113T. Krcil—8630
WJun 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka—1111411113T. Krcil—13911542
LMay 28 · 18:05J. Kabelka—131201142T. Krcil—1510119113
LMay 5 · 21:45J. Kabelka—111110782T. Krcil—921211113
LMay 5 · 19:35J. Kabelka—1513131172T. Krcil—1715116113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113WSep 1 · 20:35T. Krcil1.57127611112J. Kabelka2.251011117133
T. Krcil10
WSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952WSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:05T. Krcil1.7311311113M. Rojka2.00511581WSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281LSep 1 · 20:35T. Krcil1.57127611112J. Kabelka2.251011117133LSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991LSep 1 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.73111179113T. Krcil2.0097111192WAug 26 · 21:10T. Krcil1.631111113J. Kabelka2.156440WAug 26 · 20:05T. Krcil1.571111911113J. Kabelka2.2568111382LAug 26 · 19:05T. Krcil1.801031461K. Lahodny1.91121112113
Upcoming Matches
J. Kabelka
Nothing scheduled
T. Krcil
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