TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058098
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119119119––
Tomas Krcil
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeJan Vidourek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · Tomas Krcil below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jan Vidourek at 60.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 11–5 Tomas Krcil Tomas Krcil has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vidourek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Vidourek
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vidourek 1497 vs Krcil 1473
Vidourek
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vidourek 40% vs Krcil 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vidourek 30% vs Krcil 50%
Krcil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vidourek +1 · Krcil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vidourek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vidourek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 1.57 / Krcil 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vidourek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13058098
Vidourek1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 51 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Krcil2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog61% won 23 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back40% 8 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVidourek8wins
AwayKrcil2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVidourek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourek83.3%5 of 6
AwayKrcil25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek6Krcil4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S2Vidourek6Krcil4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S3Vidourek8Krcil2n = 10Vidourek took 8 of 10
S4Vidourek6Krcil3n = 9Vidourek took 6 of 9
S5Vidourek2Krcil2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVidourekKrcilV − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.238.3+3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 310 vs 133 / 25751.9%51.8%161 / 310 vs 133 / 257Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VidourekVidourek 1.57/Krcil 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Vidourek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vidourek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek—81111113T. Krcil—119991
WJun 28 · 18:35J. Vidourek—115118113T. Krcil—51191142
WJun 15 · 19:05J. Vidourek—81111113T. Krcil—118981
WJun 8 · 21:40J. Vidourek—117127113T. Krcil—711101192
WJun 8 · 19:05J. Vidourek—101112113T. Krcil—1291091
WMay 25 · 20:05J. Vidourek—11611113T. Krcil—711641
LMay 18 · 20:05J. Vidourek—81191142T. Krcil—115113113
WMay 11 · 21:35J. Vidourek—1111113T. Krcil—7980
LMay 11 · 18:35J. Vidourek—111111992T. Krcil—991311113
WMay 10 · 21:45J. Vidourek—11211123T. Krcil—5119101
J. Vidourek10
LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.501011116113J. Kabelka2.5012741182LAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170WAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133LAug 31 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.10711791R. Neterda1.6711811113
T. Krcil10
WSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952WSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:05T. Krcil1.7311311113M. Rojka2.00511581WSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281WSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113LSep 1 · 20:35T. Krcil1.57127611112J. Kabelka2.251011117133LSep 1 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.73111179113T. Krcil2.0097111192WAug 26 · 21:10T. Krcil1.631111113J. Kabelka2.156440WAug 26 · 20:05T. Krcil1.571111911113J. Kabelka2.2568111382LAug 26 · 19:05T. Krcil1.801031461K. Lahodny1.91121112113
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