TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071386
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811115118115––
David Hons
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:39 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeJan Vidourek to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jan Vidourek at 63.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 14–5 David Hons David Hons has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:39What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vidourek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-5 in 19
Vidourek
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vidourek 1494 vs Hons 1512
Hons
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vidourek 60% vs Hons 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vidourek 50% vs Hons 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vidourek -1 · Hons -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vidourek) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 1.67 / Hons 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Vidourek)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13071386
Vidourek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 53 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Hons2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 63 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVidourek7wins
AwayHons3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVidourek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourek100%6 of 6
AwayHons75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek6Hons4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S2Vidourek6Hons4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S3Vidourek6Hons4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVidourekHonsV − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.427.1+4.3per matchSweeps53+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 315 vs 230 / 46552.1%49.5%164 / 315 vs 230 / 465Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VidourekVidourek 1.67/Hons 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Vidourek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vidourek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek—81111113D. Hons—115851
WAug 7 · 18:35J. Vidourek—1111113D. Hons—5780
LJul 31 · 21:10J. Vidourek—2690D. Hons—1111113
WJul 31 · 18:05J. Vidourek—1111113D. Hons—9660
WJul 24 · 18:05J. Vidourek—118911113D. Hons—81111272
WJul 19 · 18:05J. Vidourek—1111113D. Hons—9640
LJul 10 · 21:15J. Vidourek—5790D. Hons—1111113
LJul 10 · 20:05J. Vidourek—4940D. Hons—1111113
WMar 18 · 22:15J. Vidourek—1111113D. Hons—7550
WMar 18 · 19:05J. Vidourek—1411113D. Hons—12960
J. Vidourek10
LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113LSep 3 · 19:05R. Fitl1.531111113J. Vidourek2.383850WSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113LSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991WSep 1 · 18:05J. Vidourek1.501011116113J. Kabelka2.5012741182LAug 31 · 21:15R. Pokorny1.501413113J. Vidourek2.50121170WAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133LAug 31 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.10711791R. Neterda1.6711811113
D. Hons10
LSep 3 · 21:08D. Hons2.259440R. Fitl1.571111113LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113WSep 3 · 18:05R. Fitl1.676650D. Hons2.101111113WAug 29 · 21:10D. Hons1.831114138113R. Pokorny1.83712151182LAug 29 · 20:35D. Hons1.531411961M. Flesar2.3816911113WAug 29 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.7351161182D. Hons2.00117115113LAug 29 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.611111123D. Hons2.2097100WAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.571111133D. Hons2.2597110LAug 27 · 15:35L. Vosyka1.73611711133D. Hons2.00115116112
Upcoming Matches
J. Vidourek
Nothing scheduled
D. Hons
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