TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073727
Played Sep 3Finished
David Hons
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411411––––
Radek Fitl
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDavid Hons above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11
50 points played in total.
H2H David Hons 9–10 Radek Fitl David Hons has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fitl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHons 2.25 / Fitl 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Fitl)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13073727
Hons2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 63 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Fitl1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 71 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHons3wins
AwayFitl7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFitl leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHons60%3 of 5
AwayFitl100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hons5Fitl5n = 10split evenly
S2Hons6Fitl4n = 10Hons took 6 of 10
S3Hons4Fitl6n = 10Fitl took 6 of 10
S4Hons0Fitl5n = 5Fitl took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHonsFitlH − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.036.5−2.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHonsFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 465 vs 165 / 32249.5%51.2%230 / 465 vs 165 / 322Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlHons 2.25/Fitl 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fitl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 18:05D. Hons—1111113R. Fitl—6650
WAug 20 · 15:35D. Hons—1112143R. Fitl—610120
WAug 1 · 13:09D. Hons—1612133R. Fitl—1410110
LAug 1 · 10:35D. Hons—651161R. Fitl—11114113
LJul 28 · 10:35D. Hons—5770R. Fitl—1111113
LJul 19 · 21:08D. Hons—8890R. Fitl—1111113
LJul 19 · 20:05D. Hons—911761R. Fitl—11611113
LJul 18 · 20:05D. Hons—13148852R. Fitl—11121111113
LJul 9 · 21:45D. Hons—115961R. Fitl—51111113
LJul 9 · 19:05D. Hons—12131191R. Fitl—141113113
D. Hons10
LSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113WSep 3 · 18:05R. Fitl1.676650D. Hons2.101111113WAug 29 · 21:10D. Hons1.831114138113R. Pokorny1.83712151182LAug 29 · 20:35D. Hons1.531411961M. Flesar2.3816911113WAug 29 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.7351161182D. Hons2.00117115113LAug 29 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.611111123D. Hons2.2097100WAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.571111133D. Hons2.2597110LAug 27 · 15:35L. Vosyka1.73611711133D. Hons2.00115116112
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150WSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113LSep 3 · 18:05R. Fitl1.676650D. Hons2.101111113
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