TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086901
Played Sep 6Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117112––––
Jan Kabelka
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:19 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 53 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 65.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 4–3 Jan Kabelka Jan Kabelka has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1499 vs Kabelka 1417
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 40% vs Kabelka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Kabelka 30%
Vosyka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +2 · Kabelka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.50 / Kabelka 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Vosyka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13086901
Vosyka1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 58 of 77
Kabelka2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 50 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back26% 17 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVosyka4wins
AwayKabelka3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderVosyka leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka75%3 of 4
AwayKabelka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka4Kabelka3n = 7Vosyka took 4 of 7
S2Vosyka4Kabelka3n = 7Vosyka took 4 of 7
S3Vosyka4Kabelka3n = 7Vosyka took 4 of 7
S4Vosyka3Kabelka1n = 4Vosyka took 3 of 4
S5Vosyka1Kabelka2n = 3Kabelka took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricVosykaKabelkaV − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match38.434.7+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 415 vs 127 / 26551.1%47.9%212 / 415 vs 127 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.50/Kabelka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 25 · 20:05L. Vosyka—781112113J. Kabelka—111181092
LAug 20 · 20:35L. Vosyka—5970J. Kabelka—1111113
LAug 16 · 21:14L. Vosyka—119131082J. Kabelka—8111112113
WAug 16 · 18:35L. Vosyka—111110113J. Kabelka—651241
WAug 13 · 18:35L. Vosyka—1111113J. Kabelka—5530
LAug 12 · 18:35L. Vosyka—51171152J. Kabelka—117119113
WJun 14 · 19:05L. Vosyka—1111113J. Kabelka—6760
L. Vosyka10
WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531WSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:05L. Vosyka1.6711611942M. Flesar2.10711611113LSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka1.3661570P. Pesout3.001117113LSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113WSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:35J. Kabelka2.509119101L. Vosyka1.5011811123
J. Kabelka10
WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113LSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113LSep 1 · 19:35J. Kabelka2.509119101L. Vosyka1.5011811123
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