TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089401
Played Sep 6Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.42
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118114––––
Martin Chmelicek
Away
2.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Martin Chmelicek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 50 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 63.2%
50 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 15–5 Martin Chmelicek Martin Chmelicek has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-5 in 20
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1489 vs Chmelicek 1361
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Chmelicek 40%
Vosyka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Chmelicek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -1 · Chmelicek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.42 / Chmelicek 2.55
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Vosyka)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13089401
Vosyka1.42
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 58 of 77
Chmelicek2.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 58 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka7wins
AwayChmelicek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka100%5 of 5
AwayChmelicek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka5Chmelicek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vosyka8Chmelicek2n = 10Vosyka took 8 of 10
S3Vosyka6Chmelicek4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S4Vosyka5Chmelicek1n = 6Vosyka took 5 of 6
S5Vosyka2Chmelicek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaChmelicekV − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.236.4+2.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaChmelicekBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 418 vs 222 / 46851.2%47.4%214 / 418 vs 222 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.42/Chmelicek 2.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.6%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka—1111113M. Chmelicek—5840
LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka—51141142M. Chmelicek—117116113
WAug 27 · 18:35L. Vosyka—1211113M. Chmelicek—10660
WAug 23 · 21:35L. Vosyka—921211113M. Chmelicek—111110682
WAug 23 · 19:35L. Vosyka—111411113M. Chmelicek—7121391
LAug 16 · 19:35L. Vosyka—712111152M. Chmelicek—1110132113
WAug 13 · 19:35L. Vosyka—1111113M. Chmelicek—9990
WAug 12 · 21:15L. Vosyka—811711113M. Chmelicek—11711952
LAug 12 · 19:35L. Vosyka—1431171M. Chmelicek—16119113
WJul 17 · 14:05L. Vosyka—1411113M. Chmelicek—12880
L. Vosyka10
LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531WSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:05L. Vosyka1.6711611942M. Flesar2.10711611113LSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka1.3661570P. Pesout3.001117113LSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113WSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:35J. Kabelka2.509119101L. Vosyka1.5011811123
M. Chmelicek10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:35M. Rojka1.916411131M. Chmelicek1.8011118153LSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:05M. Chmelicek1.91911941P. Pesout1.8011711113LSep 6 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.676790T. Motacek2.101111113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172WSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131LSep 5 · 16:05M. Chmelicek1.53591111102T. Motacek2.38111196123LSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113
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