TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071835
Played Sep 3Finished
Ondrej Pros
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8117111191214––
Milan Flesar
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOndrej Pros above · Milan Flesar below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 83 set 4, 12-14
83 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Pros 14–2 Milan Flesar Milan Flesar has won 2 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Pros)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flesar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPros 1.40 / Flesar 2.75
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Pros)-1.0pp
TT Cup · #13071835
Pros1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 23 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Flesar2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 39 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back30% 17 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePros8wins
AwayFlesar2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPros leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePros100%5 of 5
AwayFlesar40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pros5Flesar5n = 10split evenly
S2Pros7Flesar3n = 10Pros took 7 of 10
S3Pros5Flesar5n = 10split evenly
S4Pros5Flesar1n = 6Pros took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricProsFlesarP − FBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.333.0+2.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProsFlesarBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 242 vs 202 / 38046.7%53.2%113 / 242 vs 202 / 380Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProsPros 1.40/Flesar 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Pros · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Flesar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 12:05O. Pros—61111143M. Flesar—1199121
WAug 11 · 12:35O. Pros—111146113M. Flesar—18111192
WAug 7 · 15:35O. Pros—1113113M. Flesar—81170
WJun 8 · 17:05O. Pros—81111113M. Flesar—118381
WJun 8 · 16:05O. Pros—1111113M. Flesar—6480
WJun 1 · 16:05O. Pros—11511123M. Flesar—6115101
WMay 15 · 17:05O. Pros—911811113M. Flesar—11911832
WMay 15 · 14:35O. Pros—11127113M. Flesar—6101181
LMay 8 · 10:05O. Pros—9350M. Flesar—1111113
LApr 7 · 11:05O. Pros—8220M. Flesar—1111113
O. Pros10
WSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143LSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540WSep 3 · 10:35O. Pros2.0011811113M. Chmelicek1.73711871WSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123WSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Holub1.2011811113O. Pros4.33811851LAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 16:35O. Pros2.385440L. Vosyka1.531111113LAug 27 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.36991111113O. Pros3.0011118542
M. Flesar10
LSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140WSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143LSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:35M. Flesar3.255980J. Lovl1.331111113LSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113LSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110WSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113LSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143WSep 3 · 11:05M. Flesar1.8391111113M. Chmelicek1.83118941
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