TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13041094
Played Aug 29Finished
Milan Flesar
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101210121210911––
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:00 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Flesar above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 86 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 69.1%
86 points played in total.
H2H Milan Flesar 1–2 Radek Vosyka Milan Flesar has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:00What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Flesar 1504 vs Vosyka 1575
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Flesar 80% vs Vosyka 20%
Flesar
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Flesar 80% vs Vosyka 40%
Flesar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Flesar +1 · Vosyka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFlesar 2.75 / Vosyka 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Vosyka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13041094
Flesar2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 36 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Vosyka1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 77 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it71% 58 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFlesar1wins
AwayVosyka2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVosyka leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFlesarn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayVosyka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Flesar0Vosyka3n = 3Vosyka took 3 of 3
S2Flesar1Vosyka2n = 3Vosyka took 2 of 3
S3Flesar2Vosyka1n = 3Flesar took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricFlesarVosykaF − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match38.043.0−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFlesarVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 370 vs 178 / 34952.7%51%195 / 370 vs 178 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaFlesar 2.75/Vosyka 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 13 · 15:05M. Flesar—1091171R. Vosyka—12119113
LAug 11 · 10:05M. Flesar—10680R. Vosyka—1211113
WJul 28 · 19:05M. Flesar—811129133R. Vosyka—1191011112
M. Flesar10
LSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140WSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143LSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:35M. Flesar3.255980J. Lovl1.331111113LSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113LSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110WSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113WSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143LSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133WAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113WAug 31 · 18:35R. Neterda2.00611771R. Vosyka1.7311911113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101LAug 29 · 20:05R. Pokorny2.10111110113R. Vosyka1.67481281
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