TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071347
Played Sep 3Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131113511––––
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 64 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 64.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 4–6 Radek Vosyka Radek Fitl has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1530 vs Vosyka 1604
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 40% vs Vosyka 60%
Vosyka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 40% vs Vosyka 70%
Vosyka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl +1 · Vosyka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 2.38 / Vosyka 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13071347
Fitl2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 50 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Vosyka1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 82 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it73% 64 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFitl4wins
AwayVosyka6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitl100%3 of 3
AwayVosyka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl3Vosyka7n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S2Fitl3Vosyka7n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S3Fitl4Vosyka6n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S4Fitl3Vosyka4n = 7Vosyka took 4 of 7
S5Fitl3Vosyka1n = 4Fitl took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFitlVosykaF − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.739.3−4.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 321 vs 184 / 35851.4%51.4%165 / 321 vs 184 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaFitl 2.38/Vosyka 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 13:40R. Fitl—991111113R. Vosyka—11119272
LAug 27 · 10:35R. Fitl—6101281R. Vosyka—111210113
LAug 24 · 16:05R. Fitl—81171342R. Vosyka—1181111113
WAug 21 · 13:38R. Fitl—119116113R. Vosyka—91191172
LAug 21 · 11:35R. Fitl—5570R. Vosyka—1111113
LAug 18 · 10:35R. Fitl—7490R. Vosyka—1111113
LAug 16 · 07:05R. Fitl—8660R. Vosyka—1111113
WJul 24 · 12:35R. Fitl—11511113R. Vosyka—511871
WJul 13 · 12:05R. Fitl—1111108113R. Vosyka—48121172
LJul 8 · 10:35R. Fitl—211461R. Vosyka—11511113
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150WSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172
R. Vosyka10
WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102LAug 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka1.44681312112J. Vidourek2.6311111110133WAug 31 · 19:05R. Pokorny2.0051080R. Vosyka1.731112113WAug 31 · 18:35R. Neterda2.00611771R. Vosyka1.7311911113WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka1.4011711113M. Flesar2.75711101LAug 29 · 20:05R. Pokorny2.10111110113R. Vosyka1.67481281WAug 29 · 19:35M. Flesar2.7510101291R. Vosyka1.40121210113
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