TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12477458
Played Aug 23Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115117––––
Jan Manhal Jr
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJan Ruzicka to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
117115117––––
H2H Jan Ruzicka 3–2 Jan Manhal Jr Jan Manhal Jr has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1637 vs Jr 1466
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 80% vs Jr 40%
Ruzicka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 70% vs Jr 50%
Ruzicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +1 · Jr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.83 / Jr 1.83
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Ruzicka)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12477458
Ruzicka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Jr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRuzicka3wins
AwayJr2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderRuzicka leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka75%3 of 4
AwayJrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka4Jr1n = 5Ruzicka took 4 of 5
S2Ruzicka1Jr4n = 5Jr took 4 of 5
S3Ruzicka4Jr1n = 5Ruzicka took 4 of 5
S4Ruzicka1Jr3n = 4Jr took 3 of 4
S5Ruzicka2Jr1n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricRuzickaJrR − JBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match38.437.2+1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaJrBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 392 vs 13 / 3051.5%43.3%202 / 392 vs 13 / 30Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.83/Jr 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 23 · 07:05J. Ruzicka—1111113J. Jr—7570
LAug 13 · 15:35J. Ruzicka—410111162J. Jr—111235113
WAug 6 · 17:14J. Ruzicka—116118113J. Jr—51181142
WAug 6 · 15:05J. Ruzicka—116113113J. Jr—71181182
LJul 26 · 09:33J. Ruzicka—113681J. Jr—81111113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972WSep 5 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.6191411113J. Martin2.201112541LSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162LSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113
J. Jr10
WSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113WSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110LSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150LAug 24 · 17:18J. Jr1.8361161182R. Fitl1.83118119113LAug 24 · 16:35J. Martin1.57111114153J. Jr2.256916131WAug 24 · 15:35J. Jr1.9111212113R. Fitl1.808111061LAug 24 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50911511113J. Jr2.5011711682LAug 23 · 09:05J. Jr1.831191151R. Vavricka1.8313115113WAug 23 · 08:35J. Jr1.911111113R. Vavricka1.805690
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