TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12477439
Played Aug 23Finished
Jan Manhal Jr
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116119––––
Richard Vavricka
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Vavricka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Manhal Jr above · Richard Vavricka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Richard Vavricka at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:12What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vavricka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jr 1459 vs Vavricka 1517
Vavricka
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Vavricka 40%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Vavricka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -1 · Vavricka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavricka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavricka form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.91 / Vavricka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vavricka)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12477439
Jr1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Vavricka1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 35 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrVavrickaBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 22 vs 99 / 18850%52.7%11 / 22 vs 99 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavrickaJr 1.91/Vavricka 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vavricka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jr won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Jr10
WSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113WSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110LSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150LAug 24 · 17:18J. Jr1.8361161182R. Fitl1.83118119113LAug 24 · 16:35J. Martin1.57111114153J. Jr2.256916131WAug 24 · 15:35J. Jr1.9111212113R. Fitl1.808111061LAug 24 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50911511113J. Jr2.5011711682LAug 23 · 09:05J. Jr1.831191151R. Vavricka1.8313115113LAug 23 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.831111113J. Jr1.837570
R. Vavricka10
LSep 5 · 21:04J. Martin2.001111123R. Vavricka1.7389100LSep 5 · 20:35R. Vavricka1.677680J. Martin2.101111113LSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771LSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142WAug 23 · 09:05J. Jr1.831191151R. Vavricka1.8313115113WAug 23 · 07:35R. Vavricka2.38913118133R. Vosyka1.531111911112LAug 23 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.571211113R. Vavricka2.2510770WAug 15 · 13:09P. Pesout2.383812111R. Vavricka1.53111110133LAug 15 · 12:35P. Pesout2.63121211113R. Vavricka1.441014981LAug 15 · 11:35R. Vavricka1.8081180R. Fitl1.911113113
Upcoming Matches
J. Jr
Nothing scheduled
R. Vavricka
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