TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082040
Played Sep 5Finished
Richard Vavricka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611811––––
Jirasek Martin
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeRichard Vavricka to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRichard Vavricka above · Jirasek Martin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Richard Vavricka at 61.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Richard Vavricka 0–1 Jirasek Martin Richard Vavricka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:10What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vavricka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vavricka 1444 vs Martin 1451
Martin
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavricka 40% vs Martin 20%
Vavricka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavricka 30% vs Martin 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavricka -2 · Martin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vavricka) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavricka 1.67 / Martin 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vavricka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13082040
Vavricka1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 35 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Martin2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 13 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVavricka0wins
AwayMartin1wins
Martin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricVavrickaMartinV − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavrickaMartinBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 195 vs 27 / 5651.8%48.2%101 / 195 vs 27 / 56Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavrickaVavricka 1.67/Martin 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Vavricka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 20:35R. Vavricka—7680J. Martin—1111113
R. Vavricka10
LSep 5 · 21:04J. Martin2.001111123R. Vavricka1.7389100LSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771LSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142WAug 23 · 09:05J. Jr1.831191151R. Vavricka1.8313115113LAug 23 · 08:35J. Jr1.911111113R. Vavricka1.805690WAug 23 · 07:35R. Vavricka2.38913118133R. Vosyka1.531111911112LAug 23 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.571211113R. Vavricka2.2510770WAug 15 · 13:09P. Pesout2.383812111R. Vavricka1.53111110133LAug 15 · 12:35P. Pesout2.63121211113R. Vavricka1.441014981LAug 15 · 11:35R. Vavricka1.8081180R. Fitl1.911113113
J. Martin10
WSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140LSep 6 · 08:35J. Lovl1.441111113J. Martin2.639550WSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670WSep 5 · 21:04J. Martin2.001111123R. Vavricka1.7389100LSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113LSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152WSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113LSep 5 · 12:35J. Lovl1.9191111113J. Martin1.80115681LSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Vavricka
J. Martin
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