TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12477488
Played Aug 23Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117117––––
Richard Vavricka
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeJan Ruzicka to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1210117117––––
H2H Jan Ruzicka 6–1 Richard Vavricka Richard Vavricka has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Ruzicka
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1637 vs Vavricka 1493
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 80% vs Vavricka 40%
Ruzicka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 70% vs Vavricka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -1 · Vavricka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.57 / Vavricka 2.25
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Ruzicka)+5.0pp
TT Cup · #12477488
Ruzicka1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 77 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it85% 63 of 74
Vavricka2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 24 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back34% 11 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeRuzicka6wins
AwayVavricka1wins
3 of 7 to a deciderRuzicka leads 6–1, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka80%4 of 5
AwayVavrickan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka5Vavricka2n = 7Ruzicka took 5 of 7
S2Ruzicka4Vavricka3n = 7Ruzicka took 4 of 7
S3Ruzicka5Vavricka2n = 7Ruzicka took 5 of 7
S4Ruzicka4Vavricka2n = 6Ruzicka took 4 of 6
S5Ruzicka2Vavricka1n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricRuzickaVavrickaR − VBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match44.035.3+8.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaVavrickaBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 392 vs 101 / 19251.5%52.6%202 / 392 vs 101 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.57/Vavricka 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.9%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 23 · 06:05J. Ruzicka—1211113R. Vavricka—10770
WMay 31 · 13:10J. Ruzicka—11118123R. Vavricka—8711101
WMay 31 · 12:35J. Ruzicka—116911113R. Vavricka—61111542
LApr 3 · 21:40J. Ruzicka—11911882R. Vavricka—311711113
WApr 3 · 19:05J. Ruzicka—118139113R. Vavricka—311111162
WMar 27 · 22:10J. Ruzicka—111111113R. Vavricka—138491
WMar 27 · 21:35J. Ruzicka—81111113R. Vavricka—116681
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972WSep 5 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.6191411113J. Martin2.201112541LSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162LSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113
R. Vavricka10
LSep 5 · 21:04J. Martin2.001111123R. Vavricka1.7389100LSep 5 · 20:35R. Vavricka1.677680J. Martin2.101111113LSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771LSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142WAug 23 · 09:05J. Jr1.831191151R. Vavricka1.8313115113LAug 23 · 08:35J. Jr1.911111113R. Vavricka1.805690WAug 23 · 07:35R. Vavricka2.38913118133R. Vosyka1.531111911112WAug 15 · 13:09P. Pesout2.383812111R. Vavricka1.53111110133LAug 15 · 12:35P. Pesout2.63121211113R. Vavricka1.441014981LAug 15 · 11:35R. Vavricka1.8081180R. Fitl1.911113113
Upcoming Matches
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