TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12480921
Played Aug 23Finished
David Hons
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311119811511118
Radek Fnukal
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDavid Hons above · Radek Fnukal below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8
98 points played in total.
H2H David Hons 4–3 Radek Fnukal Radek Fnukal has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Fnukal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fnukal form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHons 2.25 / Fnukal 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Fnukal)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12480921
Hons2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 64 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 37
Fnukal1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 21 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHons4wins
AwayFnukal3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderHons leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHons75%3 of 4
AwayFnukal66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hons4Fnukal3n = 7Hons took 4 of 7
S2Hons4Fnukal3n = 7Hons took 4 of 7
S3Hons2Fnukal5n = 7Fnukal took 5 of 7
S4Hons5Fnukal1n = 6Hons took 5 of 6
S5Hons1Fnukal2n = 3Fnukal took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricHonsFnukalH − FBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.640.0+0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHonsFnukalBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 447 vs 60 / 11949.9%50.4%223 / 447 vs 60 / 119Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FnukalHons 2.25/Fnukal 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.9%
Fnukal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 2 · 16:35D. Hons—10980R. Fnukal—1211113
WJun 8 · 11:35D. Hons—11123113R. Fnukal—6101161
LApr 5 · 13:15D. Hons—15761192R. Fnukal—1311119113
WApr 5 · 10:05D. Hons—11711113R. Fnukal—911991
WMar 29 · 13:10D. Hons—11115113R. Fnukal—761191
WMar 29 · 10:35D. Hons—9111011113R. Fnukal—11912262
LDec 26 · 17:05D. Hons—81111482R. Fnukal—118611113
D. Hons10
LSep 3 · 21:08D. Hons2.259440R. Fitl1.571111113LSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113WSep 3 · 18:05R. Fitl1.676650D. Hons2.101111113WAug 29 · 21:10D. Hons1.831114138113R. Pokorny1.83712151182LAug 29 · 20:35D. Hons1.531411961M. Flesar2.3816911113WAug 29 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.7351161182D. Hons2.00117115113LAug 29 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.611111123D. Hons2.2097100WAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.571111133D. Hons2.2597110
R. Fnukal10
LSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172LSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113WSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113WAug 23 · 17:14D. Hons2.25119981R. Fnukal1.5781111113LAug 23 · 16:05P. Chvatal2.6351111113R. Fnukal1.44115591LAug 23 · 14:35R. Fnukal1.411191113112J. Lovl2.60811415133WAug 14 · 13:04R. Fitl1.91135991R. Fnukal1.80111111113LAug 14 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.6111111010113R. Fnukal2.2074121262LAug 14 · 11:35J. Lovl2.6311216113R. Fnukal1.447111481
Upcoming Matches
D. Hons
R. Fnukal1 of 1 neutral
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