TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12434088
Played Aug 14Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311511911911––
Radek Fnukal
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Radek Fnukal below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11
80 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 2–3 Radek Fnukal Radek Fitl has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fnukal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fnukal form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 1.91 / Fnukal 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fnukal)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12434088
Fitl1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 37 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Fnukal1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 20 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeFitl2wins
AwayFnukal3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderFnukal leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitl33.3%1 of 3
AwayFnukaln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl3Fnukal2n = 5Fitl took 3 of 5
S2Fitl2Fnukal3n = 5Fnukal took 3 of 5
S3Fitl1Fnukal4n = 5Fnukal took 4 of 5
S4Fitl3Fnukal1n = 4Fitl took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricFitlFnukalFitl − FnukalBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.640.60.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlFnukalBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 263 vs 59 / 11752.5%50.4%138 / 263 vs 59 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FnukalFitl 1.91/Fnukal 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fnukal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fnukal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 14 · 10:35R. Fitl—11167113R. Fnukal—6141181
LJul 26 · 17:15R. Fitl—1110711112R. Fnukal—512118133
LJul 26 · 14:35R. Fitl—71090R. Fnukal—1112113
WJul 26 · 10:05R. Fitl—81111113R. Fnukal—116861
LJul 19 · 16:35R. Fitl—1194171R. Fnukal—91111193
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150WSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172
R. Fnukal10
LSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172LSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113WSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113WAug 23 · 17:14D. Hons2.25119981R. Fnukal1.5781111113LAug 23 · 16:05P. Chvatal2.6351111113R. Fnukal1.44115591LAug 23 · 15:34D. Hons2.25131185113R. Fnukal1.57119111182LAug 23 · 14:35R. Fnukal1.411191113112J. Lovl2.60811415133LAug 14 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.6111111010113R. Fnukal2.2074121262LAug 14 · 11:35J. Lovl2.6311216113R. Fnukal1.447111481
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