TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12428539
Played Aug 14Finished
Jan Lovl
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1172111614118––
Radek Fnukal
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:20 and never touched — 74.5% is still 74.5%
Graded at full timeRadek Fnukal to win
74.5%
74.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Lovl above · Radek Fnukal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Radek Fnukal at 74.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jan Lovl 6–13 Radek Fnukal Jan Lovl has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:20What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fnukal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Fnukal
Wrong
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lovl 1564 vs Fnukal 1589
Fnukal
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lovl 40% vs Fnukal 60%
Fnukal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lovl 50% vs Fnukal 80%
Fnukal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lovl -3 · Fnukal -2
Lovl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Fnukal)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLovl 2.63 / Fnukal 1.44
Signal prob.26% / 75%
Edge (Fnukal)+10.0pp
TT Cup · #12428539
Lovl2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 21 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Fnukal1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 20 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLovl4wins
AwayFnukal6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderFnukal leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLovl33.3%1 of 3
AwayFnukal57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lovl3Fnukal7n = 10Fnukal took 7 of 10
S2Lovl5Fnukal5n = 10split evenly
S3Lovl5Fnukal5n = 10split evenly
S4Lovl3Fnukal4n = 7Fnukal took 4 of 7
S5Lovl3Fnukal3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLovlFnukalL − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.541.1−2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLovlFnukalBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 294 vs 59 / 11551.7%51.3%152 / 294 vs 59 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FnukalLovl 2.63/Fnukal 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.5%
Fnukal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lovl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 16:05J. Lovl—1371191R. Fnukal—15116113
LAug 2 · 17:34J. Lovl—11119962R. Fnukal—871111113
LAug 2 · 14:35J. Lovl—101151182R. Fnukal—124119113
WJul 19 · 15:35J. Lovl—614118113R. Fnukal—111291192
LJun 28 · 11:35J. Lovl—4260R. Fnukal—1111113
WJun 5 · 13:15J. Lovl—1112113R. Fnukal—61080
LJun 5 · 12:35J. Lovl—7880R. Fnukal—1111113
WJun 3 · 13:05J. Lovl—671111113R. Fnukal—11117722
WJun 3 · 11:35J. Lovl—4111110113R. Fnukal—11641282
LMay 17 · 13:35J. Lovl—12751172R. Fnukal—1011119113
J. Lovl10
LSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472WSep 6 · 08:35J. Lovl1.441111113J. Martin2.639550LSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:35M. Flesar3.255980J. Lovl1.331111113WSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791WSep 5 · 12:35J. Lovl1.9191111113J. Martin1.80115681LSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972WSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113LAug 30 · 13:15R. Pokorny1.1711115113J. Lovl4.50571161WAug 30 · 12:35R. Neterda2.00791112132J. Lovl1.731111710153
R. Fnukal10
LSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172LSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113WSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113WAug 23 · 17:14D. Hons2.25119981R. Fnukal1.5781111113LAug 23 · 16:05P. Chvatal2.6351111113R. Fnukal1.44115591LAug 23 · 15:34D. Hons2.25131185113R. Fnukal1.57119111182LAug 23 · 14:35R. Fnukal1.411191113112J. Lovl2.60811415133WAug 14 · 13:04R. Fitl1.91135991R. Fnukal1.80111111113LAug 14 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.6111111010113R. Fnukal2.2074121262
Upcoming Matches
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R. Fnukal1 of 1 neutral
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