TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076654
Played Sep 4Finished
Miroslav Cyrus
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141012117117––
Radim Jaros
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Cyrus to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Cyrus above · Radim Jaros below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Miroslav Cyrus at 66.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Cyrus 7–1 Radim Jaros Radim Jaros has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Cyrus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Cyrus
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyrus 1309 vs Jaros 1156
Cyrus
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyrus 40% vs Jaros 0%
Cyrus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyrus 50% vs Jaros 10%
Cyrus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyrus +2 · Jaros -5
Jaros
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Cyrus) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaros form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyrus 1.44 / Jaros 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Cyrus)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13076654
Cyrus1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 11 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Jaros2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog29% won 20 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeCyrus7wins
AwayJaros1wins
3 of 8 to a deciderCyrus leads 7–1, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyrus83.3%5 of 6
AwayJarosn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyrus6Jaros2n = 8Cyrus took 6 of 8
S2Cyrus5Jaros3n = 8Cyrus took 5 of 8
S3Cyrus5Jaros3n = 8Cyrus took 5 of 8
S4Cyrus3Jaros2n = 5Cyrus took 3 of 5
S5Cyrus3Jaros0n = 3Cyrus took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricCyrusJarosC − JBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match41.235.6+5.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCyrusJarosBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 182 vs 93 / 24345.1%38.3%82 / 182 vs 93 / 243Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.534.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrusCyrus 1.44/Jaros 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Cyrus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cyrus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 23 · 13:14M. Cyrus—1115113R. Jaros—91340
WAug 23 · 11:35M. Cyrus—111194113R. Jaros—97111142
WAug 22 · 11:35M. Cyrus—1611113R. Jaros—14730
WAug 16 · 12:35M. Cyrus—1211113R. Jaros—10740
LAug 5 · 19:35M. Cyrus—119671R. Jaros—91111113
WJan 2 · 14:15M. Cyrus—1111811113R. Jaros—13611992
WJan 2 · 11:05M. Cyrus—15411123R. Jaros—13116101
WDec 21 · 17:05M. Cyrus—871111113R. Jaros—11114882
M. Cyrus10
WSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282WSep 4 · 19:05M. Chmelicek1.61921131M. Cyrus2.2011119113WSep 4 · 18:35M. Rojka1.50119117112M. Cyrus2.50811811133LSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Pesout1.831111113M. Cyrus1.837230LSep 2 · 15:35M. Cyrus2.251760M. Flesar1.571111113WSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113WAug 23 · 13:14R. Jaros2.3891340M. Cyrus1.531115113LAug 23 · 12:05J. Horky1.3313711113M. Cyrus3.251111821WAug 23 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6397111142M. Cyrus1.44111194113
R. Jaros10
WSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101LSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143LSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131WSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113LSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:05M. Chmelicek1.171111113R. Jaros4.502750LAug 23 · 13:14R. Jaros2.3891340M. Cyrus1.531115113LAug 23 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6397111142M. Cyrus1.44111194113
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