TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12477856
Played Aug 23Finished
Jakub Horky
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311711118112––
Miroslav Cyrus
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:22 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Horky to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Horky above · Miroslav Cyrus below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 74 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Jakub Horky at 73.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Horky 5–0 Miroslav Cyrus Miroslav Cyrus has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:22What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Horky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Horky
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horky 1506 vs Cyrus 1296
Horky
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horky 80% vs Cyrus 40%
Horky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horky 80% vs Cyrus 50%
Horky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horky +3 · Cyrus -2
Horky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Horky)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorky 1.33 / Cyrus 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Horky)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12477856
Horky1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 32 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Cyrus3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 15 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeHorky5wins
AwayCyrus0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHorky leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorky100%3 of 3
AwayCyrusn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horky3Cyrus2n = 5Horky took 3 of 5
S2Horky5Cyrus0n = 5Horky took 5 of 5
S3Horky5Cyrus0n = 5Horky took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricHorkyCyrusH − CBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.627.0+10.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorkyCyrusBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 154 vs 77 / 17252%44.8%80 / 154 vs 77 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorkyHorky 1.33/Cyrus 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Horky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Horky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 16 · 13:38J. Horky—1111113M. Cyrus—7860
WAug 16 · 11:05J. Horky—71111113M. Cyrus—113951
WJun 21 · 13:10J. Horky—811118113M. Cyrus—11841152
WJun 21 · 12:35J. Horky—1111113M. Cyrus—7680
WJan 2 · 12:05J. Horky—1111113M. Cyrus—8990
J. Horky10
LAug 23 · 13:43J. Horky1.4011771252V. Kaisler2.754111110113WAug 23 · 11:05J. Horky1.731111113V. Kaisler2.009550WAug 23 · 10:05J. Horky1.28711811113R. Jaros3.3511511672WAug 21 · 21:35M. Chmelicek1.738840J. Horky2.001111113WAug 21 · 20:05J. Hajek2.001051391J. Horky1.73121111113WAug 21 · 19:35R. Jaros2.7510960J. Horky1.401211113LAug 21 · 18:35J. Horky1.671371111132M. Chmelicek2.10151193153WAug 16 · 13:38J. Horky1.501111113M. Cyrus2.507860WAug 16 · 12:05J. Horky1.67911117113M. Chmelicek2.1011631132WAug 16 · 11:05J. Horky1.5371111113M. Cyrus2.38113951
M. Cyrus10
WSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282WSep 4 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.44111011113R. Jaros2.63412771WSep 4 · 19:05M. Chmelicek1.61921131M. Cyrus2.2011119113WSep 4 · 18:35M. Rojka1.50119117112M. Cyrus2.50811811133LSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Pesout1.831111113M. Cyrus1.837230LSep 2 · 15:35M. Cyrus2.251760M. Flesar1.571111113WSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LAug 16 · 13:38J. Horky1.501111113M. Cyrus2.507860LAug 16 · 11:05J. Horky1.5371111113M. Cyrus2.38113951
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