TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12477444
Played Aug 23Finished
Jakub Horky
Home
1.28
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711115811116117
Radim Jaros
Away
3.35
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Horky to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
711115811116117
H2H Jakub Horky 11–6 Radim Jaros Radim Jaros has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:11What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (72%)
Horky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-6 in 17
Horky
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horky 1506 vs Jaros 1256
Horky
Correct
both rated, 250 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horky 80% vs Jaros 40%
Horky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horky 80% vs Jaros 40%
Horky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horky +3 · Jaros +2
Horky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Horky) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jaros form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (30%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorky 1.28 / Jaros 3.35
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Horky)+9.0pp
TT Cup · #12477444
Horky1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 32 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Jaros3.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 21 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorky7wins
AwayJaros3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHorky leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorky100%7 of 7
AwayJaros100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horky7Jaros3n = 10Horky took 7 of 10
S2Horky6Jaros4n = 10Horky took 6 of 10
S3Horky6Jaros4n = 10Horky took 6 of 10
S4Horky2Jaros2n = 4split evenly
S5Horky2Jaros1n = 3Horky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorkyJarosH − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.229.5+6.7per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorkyJarosBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 154 vs 91 / 22952%39.7%80 / 154 vs 91 / 229Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.934.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorkyHorky 1.28/Jaros 3.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Horky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Horky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 19:35J. Horky—1211113R. Jaros—10960
LAug 16 · 10:05J. Horky—910100R. Jaros—1112123
WAug 15 · 19:05J. Horky—1111113R. Jaros—3470
WAug 14 · 21:35J. Horky—1111113R. Jaros—5240
WAug 14 · 18:05J. Horky—11311113R. Jaros—811841
WAug 2 · 10:05J. Horky—1112910113R. Jaros—910111252
WJun 5 · 20:35J. Horky—1111123R. Jaros—45100
LMay 30 · 17:35J. Horky—46100R. Jaros—1111123
WMay 30 · 14:05J. Horky—118136113R. Jaros—311111122
LMay 9 · 16:35J. Horky—311511112R. Jaros—113113133
J. Horky10
LAug 23 · 13:43J. Horky1.4011771252V. Kaisler2.754111110113WAug 23 · 12:05J. Horky1.3313711113M. Cyrus3.251111821WAug 23 · 11:05J. Horky1.731111113V. Kaisler2.009550WAug 21 · 21:35M. Chmelicek1.738840J. Horky2.001111113WAug 21 · 20:05J. Hajek2.001051391J. Horky1.73121111113WAug 21 · 19:35R. Jaros2.7510960J. Horky1.401211113LAug 21 · 18:35J. Horky1.671371111132M. Chmelicek2.10151193153WAug 16 · 13:38J. Horky1.501111113M. Cyrus2.507860WAug 16 · 12:05J. Horky1.67911117113M. Chmelicek2.1011631132WAug 16 · 11:05J. Horky1.5371111113M. Cyrus2.38113951
R. Jaros10
WSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101LSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143LSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131WSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113LSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:05M. Chmelicek1.171111113R. Jaros4.502750LSep 4 · 21:15M. Chmelicek—1111113R. Jaros—4790LAug 21 · 19:35R. Jaros2.7510960J. Horky1.401211113
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